Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 26/09, 19:00

Prediction: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RD Loka

Team pages: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 · RD Loka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.5Total

RK Slovenj Gradec 201132.4

RD Loka31.1

1X2

77% 23%

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 RD Loka

Markets

Under 64.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWDLW

RD Loka 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWWLWW

Head-to-head

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 5–1–0 RD Loka (6 last)

RK Slovenj Gradec 201136-34RD Loka
RD Loka30-32RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201131-26RD Loka
RD Loka29-34RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201124-23RD Loka
RD Loka25-25RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1519 · RD Loka 1472

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RD Loka
Our model	66%	34%
Market	78%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 63.5 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.5RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 32.4 · RD Loka 31.1

Over / Under 64.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~61.4 pts · strength 3

Match keys

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours RK Slovenj Gradec 2011: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RD Loka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 32.6	31.4 / 32.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.6 / 29.6	31.8 / 28.8
Est. result	32	31

Est. total63.5

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.16

X12.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 63.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +22’	1.16	12.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 5–1–0 RD Loka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	36-34	RD Loka
05/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	30-32	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
14/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	31-26	RD Loka
19/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	29-34	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
21/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	24-23	RD Loka
05/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	25-25	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	4	3	1	0	137	119	7
2	MRK Krka	4	3	1	0	130	116	7
3	RK Celje	4	3	0	1	140	126	6
4	RD Loka	4	3	0	1	127	114	6
5	RD Slovan	4	3	0	1	133	106	6
6	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	4	2	1	1	119	111	5
7	RK Ormoz	4	2	1	1	123	120	5
8	RK Gorenje Velenje	4	2	0	2	114	113	4
9	SD Skofljica	4	1	0	3	115	134	2
10	RD Ribnica	4	0	0	4	106	132	0
11	RK Svis	4	0	0	4	105	131	0
12	RK Ajdovscina	4	0	0	4	114	141	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	RD Loka
RK Gorenje Velenje	30-27 W	28-28 D
RD Slovan	23-28 L	32-48 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

WLWLLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-27	W
12/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
23/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-37	L
09/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-41	L
30/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W

RD Loka

LDLLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
09/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
30/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
24/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	32-48	L
11/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
05/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RD Loka?

Our model gives 77% to RK Slovenj Gradec 2011.

How many points are expected in RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 vs RD Loka?

The model estimates 63.5 total points (RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 32.4 · RD Loka 31.1).

Over or under 64.5 points?

Recent history points to under 64.5 points (70%).