Football · Hungary NB III · 07/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Tatabanya vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Team pages: FC Tatabanya · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

FC Tatabanya1.84

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1.29

1X2

49% 24% 26%

FC Tatabanya Draw Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tatabanya 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Tatabanya 2–1–0 Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (3 last)

FC Tatabanya1-1Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1-2FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya2-1Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tatabanya 1576 · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1580

	FC Tatabanya	Draw	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 2-1-0.
High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tatabanya	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.7	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7	5.2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +14’	1.80	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tatabanya 2–1–0 Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	1-1 HT 1-0	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Tatabanya
16/09/23 Hungary Cup	FC Tatabanya	2-1 HT 0-1	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	14	10	3	1	39	12	33
2	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	14	9	5	0	37	13	32
3	FC Tatabanya	14	9	4	1	32	11	31
4	Komarom VSE	14	7	3	4	23	18	24
5	Sarisapi BSE	14	7	3	4	22	20	24
6	Puskas Academy II	14	7	2	5	32	25	23
7	SC Sopron	15	6	4	5	24	22	22
8	MTE 1904	15	5	7	3	22	16	22
9	Zalaegerszegi TE II	14	6	2	6	29	26	20
10	Bicskei TC	14	6	1	7	28	28	19
11	Veszprem FC	14	4	4	6	27	28	16
12	Györi ETO II	14	4	2	8	17	22	14
13	Kiraly SZE	14	3	4	7	17	28	13
14	Papai Perutz	14	3	2	9	10	27	11
15	Balatonalmadi SE	14	2	2	10	13	42	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	14	0	2	12	6	40	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tatabanya	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
MTE 1904	1-1 D	1-1 D
Dorogi FC	2-2 D	2-2 D
Papai Perutz	1-0 W	4-0 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	3-0 W	1-1 D
Komarom VSE	2-0 W	1-0 W
1908 SZAC Budapest	3-1 W	6-1 W
Veszprem FC	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tatabanya

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	7	D
24/10	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
17/10	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
10/10	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
03/10	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	13	W
26/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
19/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
05/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
26/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	3	2	W

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

WWWDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	8	12	W
25/10	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
18/10	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	13	6	D
11/10	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
04/10	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
27/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
19/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	11	4	W
26/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-2	4-2	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tatabanya vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tatabanya win (49%). Probabilities: FC Tatabanya 49%, draw 24%, Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tatabanya vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE?

The model expects 3.13 goals (FC Tatabanya 1.84 · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tatabanya vs Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.