Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: DEAC vs Tiszafured VSE

Team pages: DEAC · Tiszafured VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

DEAC1.97

Tiszafured VSE0.99

1X2

60% 23% 18%

DEAC Draw Tiszafured VSE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

DEAC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWLWD

Tiszafured VSE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLDLWW

Head-to-head

DEAC 3–2–1 Tiszafured VSE (6 last)

Tiszafured VSE0-2DEAC
Tiszafured VSE0-1DEAC
DEAC0-0Tiszafured VSE
Tiszafured VSE1-4DEAC
DEAC0-0Tiszafured VSE
DEAC0-2Tiszafured VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · DEAC 1534 · Tiszafured VSE 1475

	DEAC	Draw	Tiszafured VSE
Our model	59%	23%	17%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours DEAC (rating 1534 vs 1475).
H2H favours DEAC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	DEAC	Tiszafured VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.9	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.8 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:44 +26’	1.50	4.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · DEAC 3–2–1 Tiszafured VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	0-2 HT 0-1	DEAC
03/05/26 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	0-1 HT 0-0	DEAC
19/10/25 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	1-4 HT 0-1	DEAC
03/11/24 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE
24/09/23 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-2 HT 0-2	Tiszafured VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	15	12	1	2	46	12	37
2	Cigand SE	15	11	3	1	37	11	36
3	Debreceni II	15	10	1	4	36	24	31
4	DEAC	15	9	3	3	34	19	30
5	Godolloi SK	15	8	1	6	25	16	25
6	Mateszalkai MTK	15	6	5	4	25	18	23
7	Diosgyori VTK II	15	6	4	5	31	23	22
8	Kisvarda II	15	5	7	3	21	17	22
9	FC Tiszaujvaros	15	6	2	7	20	22	20
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	15	5	2	8	16	22	17
11	Hajdunanas FK	15	5	2	8	27	40	17
12	Egri FC	15	5	2	8	15	32	17
13	Tiszafured VSE	15	5	1	9	11	21	16
14	Salgotarjani BTC	15	4	2	9	12	23	14
15	Tarpa SC	15	3	1	11	13	39	10
16	Nyiregyhaza II	15	1	1	13	14	44	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	DEAC	Tiszafured VSE
Salgotarjani BTC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Fuzesabonyi SC	3-0 W	2-0 W
Diosgyori VTK II	2-5 L	2-1 W
Hajdunanas FK	4-0 W	1-2 L
Mateszalkai MTK	1-1 D	0-0 D
Godolloi SK	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: DEAC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

DEAC

LDWLWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/10	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
24/10	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	2	8	L
17/10	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
26/09	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	2	6	L
19/09	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
30/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	0	L

Tiszafured VSE

WWWLLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/10	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
25/10	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	6	11	D
10/10	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	8	3	L
03/10	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
19/09	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in DEAC vs Tiszafured VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a DEAC win (60%). Probabilities: DEAC 60%, draw 23%, Tiszafured VSE 18%.

How many goals are expected in DEAC vs Tiszafured VSE?

The model expects 2.96 goals (DEAC 1.97 · Tiszafured VSE 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in DEAC vs Tiszafured VSE?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.