Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: BKV Elore SC vs Ujpest II

Team pages: BKV Elore SC · Ujpest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.04Total

BKV Elore SC1.29

Ujpest II2.75

1X2

15% 18% 67%

BKV Elore SC Draw Ujpest II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

BKV Elore SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDWLLD

Ujpest II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLDLWW

Head-to-head

BKV Elore SC 0–3 Ujpest II (3 last)

Ujpest II6-0BKV Elore SC
Ujpest II4-0BKV Elore SC
Ujpest II7-0BKV Elore SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BKV Elore SC 1439 · Ujpest II 1542

	BKV Elore SC	Draw	Ujpest II
Our model	15%	18%	67%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest II (rating 1439 vs 1542).
H2H favours Ujpest II: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BKV Elore SC	Ujpest II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.7	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.82

2 (-1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:45 +28’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BKV Elore SC 0–0–3 Ujpest II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Hungary NB III	Ujpest II	6-0 HT 2-0	BKV Elore SC
15/07/23 Club Friendly List	Ujpest II	4-0 HT 0-0	BKV Elore SC
14/11/21 Hungary NB III	Ujpest II	7-0 HT 2-0	BKV Elore SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	15	14	1	0	47	11	43
2	ESMTK	15	10	4	1	38	14	34
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	16	7	6	3	29	21	27
4	III Keruleti TUE	15	8	2	5	17	10	26
5	Ujpest II	15	7	4	4	35	22	25
6	Vasas SC II	16	6	6	4	33	19	24
7	Monori SE	15	5	6	4	26	25	21
8	Csepel	15	5	5	5	27	24	20
9	FC Dabas	16	5	4	7	22	34	19
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	15	4	5	6	23	23	17
11	Kispest Honved II	15	4	4	7	26	24	16
12	Szolnoki Mav FC	15	3	6	6	31	35	15
13	Sandorfalvi SK	15	3	4	8	9	31	13
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	15	2	6	7	19	32	12
15	Szegedi VSE	16	2	4	10	21	44	10
16	BKV Elore SC	15	2	3	10	17	51	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BKV Elore SC	Ujpest II
Szolnoki Mav FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Kispest Honved II	1-5 L	0-3 L
Szegedi VSE	1-3 L	6-1 W
FC Dabas	5-4 W	2-1 W
Monori SE	1-3 L	2-2 D
Hodmezovasarhelyi	2-2 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest II (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BKV Elore SC

DLWLLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-0	2-2	3	7	D
01/11	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-3	1-5	2	9	L
25/10	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
18/10	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-3	5-4	3	9	W
11/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
03/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
27/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
19/09	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
30/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	7	5	D

Ujpest II

WWLWDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
01/11	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
25/10	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
18/10	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
10/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	11	4	L
03/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
26/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
20/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
06/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	3-1	6-1	4	3	W
30/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BKV Elore SC vs Ujpest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ujpest II win (67%). Probabilities: BKV Elore SC 15%, draw 18%, Ujpest II 67%.

How many goals are expected in BKV Elore SC vs Ujpest II?

The model expects 4.04 goals (BKV Elore SC 1.29 · Ujpest II 2.75), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in BKV Elore SC vs Ujpest II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.