Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Bekescsabai Elore SE vs Kispest Honved II

Team pages: Bekescsabai Elore SE · Kispest Honved II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Bekescsabai Elore SE1.74

Kispest Honved II1.17

1X2

50% 25% 25%

Bekescsabai Elore SE Draw Kispest Honved II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bekescsabai Elore SE 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDLLW

Kispest Honved II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLDWD

Head-to-head

Bekescsabai Elore SE 2–1–0 Kispest Honved II (3 last)

Kispest Honved II0-0Bekescsabai Elore SE
Bekescsabai Elore SE1-0Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-5Bekescsabai Elore SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bekescsabai Elore SE 1513 · Kispest Honved II 1492

	Bekescsabai Elore SE	Draw	Kispest Honved II
Our model	50%	26%	25%
Market	50%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bekescsabai Elore SE: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bekescsabai Elore SE	Kispest Honved II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:31 +42’	1.91	3.50	3.30
11:12 +11’	1.80▼	3.60▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bekescsabai Elore SE 2–1–0 Kispest Honved II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	0-0 HT 0-0	Bekescsabai Elore SE
07/04/24 Hungary NB III	Bekescsabai Elore SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved II
24/09/23 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-5 HT 1-2	Bekescsabai Elore SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	15	14	1	0	47	11	43
2	ESMTK	15	10	4	1	38	14	34
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	16	7	6	3	29	21	27
4	III Keruleti TUE	15	8	2	5	17	10	26
5	Ujpest II	15	7	4	4	35	22	25
6	Vasas SC II	16	6	6	4	33	19	24
7	Monori SE	15	5	6	4	26	25	21
8	Csepel	15	5	5	5	27	24	20
9	FC Dabas	16	5	4	7	22	34	19
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	15	4	5	6	23	23	17
11	Kispest Honved II	15	4	4	7	26	24	16
12	Szolnoki Mav FC	15	3	6	6	31	35	15
13	Sandorfalvi SK	15	3	4	8	9	31	13
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	15	2	6	7	19	32	12
15	Szegedi VSE	16	2	4	10	21	44	10
16	BKV Elore SC	15	2	3	10	17	51	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bekescsabai Elore SE	Kispest Honved II
Monori SE	2-0 W	1-1 D
Sandorfalvi SK	0-1 L	0-0 D
BKV Elore SC	4-0 W	5-1 W
Hodmezovasarhelyi	3-1 W	2-2 D
Csepel	2-2 D	1-3 L
ESMTK	3-3 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bekescsabai Elore SE (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bekescsabai Elore SE

DDWWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	3-2	3-2	–	–	W
01/11	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	5	9	L
17/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
10/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
03/10	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/09	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
05/09	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	2	0	D
29/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

Kispest Honved II

DLWLWLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/11	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	3-0	5-1	4	9	W
24/10	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
11/10	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
04/10	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
26/09	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	1	10	L
20/09	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
05/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bekescsabai Elore SE vs Kispest Honved II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bekescsabai Elore SE win (50%). Probabilities: Bekescsabai Elore SE 50%, draw 25%, Kispest Honved II 25%.

How many goals are expected in Bekescsabai Elore SE vs Kispest Honved II?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Bekescsabai Elore SE 1.74 · Kispest Honved II 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bekescsabai Elore SE vs Kispest Honved II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.