Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Csepel vs III Keruleti TUE

Team pages: Csepel · III Keruleti TUE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Csepel1.29

III Keruleti TUE1.29

1X2

37% 27% 37%

Csepel Draw III Keruleti TUE

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Csepel 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDLDWWLL

III Keruleti TUE 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDDLLL

Head-to-head

Csepel 0–2–2 III Keruleti TUE (4 last)

III Keruleti TUE2-0Csepel
III Keruleti TUE1-1Csepel
Csepel1-1III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE1-0Csepel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Csepel 1476 · III Keruleti TUE 1479

	Csepel	Draw	III Keruleti TUE
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	38%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours III Keruleti TUE: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Csepel	III Keruleti TUE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	0.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:01 +9’	2.40	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Csepel 0–2–2 III Keruleti TUE

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	2-0 HT 0-0	Csepel
08/03/26 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	1-1 HT 1-1	Csepel
17/08/25 Hungary NB III	Csepel	1-1 HT 1-0	III Keruleti TUE
14/04/19 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	1-0 HT 1-0	Csepel

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	15	14	1	0	47	11	43
2	ESMTK	15	10	4	1	38	14	34
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	16	7	6	3	29	21	27
4	III Keruleti TUE	15	8	2	5	17	10	26
5	Ujpest II	15	7	4	4	35	22	25
6	Vasas SC II	16	6	6	4	33	19	24
7	Monori SE	15	5	6	4	26	25	21
8	Csepel	15	5	5	5	27	24	20
9	FC Dabas	16	5	4	7	22	34	19
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	15	4	5	6	23	23	17
11	Kispest Honved II	15	4	4	7	26	24	16
12	Szolnoki Mav FC	15	3	6	6	31	35	15
13	Sandorfalvi SK	15	3	4	8	9	31	13
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	15	2	6	7	19	32	12
15	Szegedi VSE	16	2	4	10	21	44	10
16	BKV Elore SC	15	2	3	10	17	51	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Csepel	III Keruleti TUE
Gyulai Termal	0-2 L	0-1 L
Ujpest II	0-2 L	0-0 D
Szolnoki Mav FC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Kispest Honved II	3-1 W	0-1 L
Szegedi VSE	1-1 D	1-0 W
FC Dabas	0-1 L	1-0 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-1 D	1-0 W
Vasas SC II	0-6 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: III Keruleti TUE (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Csepel

WDLDLDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
01/11	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
24/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-2	3-2	6	5	W
18/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
10/10	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
04/10	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
20/09	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-6	3	4	L
05/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	0	0	D
29/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	3-0	5-1	–	–	W

III Keruleti TUE

LWWWLDDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
31/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
24/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
18/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
10/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
26/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Csepel vs III Keruleti TUE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Csepel win (37%). Probabilities: Csepel 37%, draw 27%, III Keruleti TUE 37%.

How many goals are expected in Csepel vs III Keruleti TUE?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Csepel 1.29 · III Keruleti TUE 1.29), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Csepel vs III Keruleti TUE?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.