Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Modena U19 vs Udinese U19

Team pages: Modena U19 · Udinese U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Modena U191.74

Udinese U191.42

1X2

45% 25% 31%

Modena U19 Draw Udinese U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Modena U19 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Udinese U19 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Modena U19 0–1–1 Udinese U19 (2 last)

Modena U190-1Udinese U19
Udinese U193-3Modena U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modena U19 1449 · Udinese U19 1519

	Modena U19	Draw	Udinese U19
Our model	44%	25%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udinese U19 (rating 1449 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Modena U19	Udinese U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.7	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +11’	2.00	3.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena U19 0–1–1 Udinese U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Modena U19	0-1 HT 0-1	Udinese U19
17/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Udinese U19	3-3 HT 2-0	Modena U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	7	4	3	0	20	9	15
2	Cremonese U19	7	5	0	2	15	8	15
3	Renate U19	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
4	Venezia U19	7	4	1	2	13	9	13
5	Vicenza U19	7	3	3	1	11	6	12
6	Udinese U19	7	4	0	3	15	13	12
7	Virtus Entella U19	7	3	2	2	12	9	11
8	Lecco U19	7	3	2	2	8	11	11
9	Padova U19	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
10	Union Brescia U19	7	2	2	3	10	15	8
11	Cittadella U19	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
12	Mantova U19	7	1	4	2	8	12	7
13	Modena U19	7	1	2	4	11	14	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
15	Sudtirol U19	7	0	4	3	5	10	4
16	Reggiana U19	7	0	2	5	2	10	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Modena U19	Udinese U19
Venezia U19	0-2 L	1-2 L
Cremonese U19	0-2 L	2-1 W
Union Brescia U19	1-2 L	2-4 L
Cittadella U19	2-4 L	3-2 W
Pro Vercelli U19	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Udinese U19 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Modena U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
24/10	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
17/10	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
10/10	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
19/09	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	4-4	8	3	D
12/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-4	6	3	L
05/09	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	4-0	3	5	W
30/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
23/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
16/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	14	6	D

Udinese U19

DWLLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/10	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	6-0	–	–	W
17/10	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
10/10	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
19/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-4	1	4	L
05/09	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-4	0-4	2	4	L
09/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
02/05	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
25/04	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modena U19 vs Udinese U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena U19 win (45%). Probabilities: Modena U19 45%, draw 25%, Udinese U19 31%.

How many goals are expected in Modena U19 vs Udinese U19?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Modena U19 1.74 · Udinese U19 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Modena U19 vs Udinese U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.