Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Catanzaro U19 vs Ascoli U19

Team pages: Catanzaro U19 · Ascoli U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Catanzaro U192.4

Ascoli U191.14

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Catanzaro U19 Draw Ascoli U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Catanzaro U19 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWWWD

Ascoli U19 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Catanzaro U19 2–0 Ascoli U19 (2 last)

Catanzaro U193-2Ascoli U19
Ascoli U190-1Catanzaro U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Catanzaro U19 1578 · Ascoli U19 1406

	Catanzaro U19	Draw	Ascoli U19
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catanzaro U19 (rating 1578 vs 1406).
H2H favours Catanzaro U19: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Catanzaro U19	Ascoli U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.9	1.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/44/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +10’	1.40	4.50	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Catanzaro U19 2–0–0 Ascoli U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Catanzaro U19	3-2 HT 0-1	Ascoli U19
13/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Ascoli U19	0-1 HT 0-0	Catanzaro U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	7	6	1	0	19	6	19
2	Benevento U19	7	5	1	1	20	7	16
3	Perugia U19	7	5	0	2	18	4	15
4	Palermo U19	7	4	3	0	13	8	15
5	Monopoli U19	7	3	3	1	12	7	12
6	Bari U19	7	3	3	1	11	6	12
7	Avellino U19	7	4	0	3	12	11	12
8	Latina U19	7	3	2	2	15	11	11
9	Pescara U19	7	3	2	2	15	14	11
10	Napoli U19	7	2	3	2	10	10	9
11	Spezia U19	7	2	1	4	11	14	7
12	Pisa U19	7	2	0	5	11	14	6
13	Cosenza U19	7	1	1	5	7	18	4
14	Frosinone U19	7	1	1	5	5	20	4
15	Ascoli U19	7	0	2	5	7	17	2
16	Salernitana U19	7	0	1	6	5	24	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Catanzaro U19	Ascoli U19
Pisa U19	2-1 W	1-4 L
Avellino U19	2-1 W	0-1 L
Napoli U19	3-2 W	2-2 D
Monopoli U19	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Catanzaro U19 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Catanzaro U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-2	7	6	D
24/10	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
17/10	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
10/10	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
19/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	6-0	7	1	W
12/09	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-2	4	7	W
05/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
09/05	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
25/04	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Ascoli U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
24/10	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
17/10	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-3	1-4	8	4	L
10/10	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-5	9	3	L
19/09	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
12/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
05/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
09/05	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
02/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
24/04	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	2-3	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Catanzaro U19 vs Ascoli U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Catanzaro U19 win (64%). Probabilities: Catanzaro U19 64%, draw 20%, Ascoli U19 16%.

How many goals are expected in Catanzaro U19 vs Ascoli U19?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Catanzaro U19 2.4 · Ascoli U19 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Catanzaro U19 vs Ascoli U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.