Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30
Prediction: Perugia U19 vs Pescara U19
Team pages: Perugia U19 · Pescara U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Perugia U191.92
Pescara U191.3
1X2
Perugia U19
Draw
Pescara U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Perugia U19
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Pescara U19
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Perugia U19
1–1–4
Pescara U19
(6 last)
- Perugia U192-0Pescara U19
- Pescara U193-0Perugia U19
- Perugia U191-2Pescara U19
- Pescara U191-1Perugia U19
- Pescara U193-0Perugia U19
- Perugia U192-4Pescara U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perugia U19 1552 · Pescara U19 1499
| Perugia U19 | Draw | Pescara U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perugia U19 (rating 1552 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Pescara U19: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perugia U19 | Pescara U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 2.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 7 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perugia U19 1–1–4 Pescara U19
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Perugia U19 | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Pescara U19 |
| 03/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pescara U19 | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Perugia U19 |
| 22/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Perugia U19 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Pescara U19 |
| 14/12/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pescara U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Perugia U19 |
| 20/04/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pescara U19 | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Perugia U19 |
| 13/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Perugia U19 | 2-4 | Pescara U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Benevento U19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Perugia U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Palermo U19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Monopoli U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Bari U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino U19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Latina U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Napoli U19 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Spezia U19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Pisa U19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
| 13 | Cosenza U19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 4 |
| 15 | Ascoli U19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perugia U19 | Pescara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento U19 | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Palermo U19 | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Salernitana U19 | 6-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Monopoli U19 | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Perugia U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perugia U19
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
5-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Pescara U19
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 24/10 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/09 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perugia U19 vs Pescara U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Perugia U19 win (50%). Probabilities: Perugia U19 50%, draw 25%, Pescara U19 24%.
How many goals are expected in Perugia U19 vs Pescara U19?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Perugia U19 1.92 · Pescara U19 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Perugia U19 vs Pescara U19?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.