Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Union Brescia U19 vs Padova U19

Team pages: Union Brescia U19 · Padova U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Union Brescia U191.73

Padova U191.44

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Union Brescia U19 Draw Padova U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Brescia U19 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDWLLD

Padova U19 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLLLWD

Head-to-head

Union Brescia U19 1–1–4 Padova U19 (6 last)

Padova U192-3Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U191-2Padova U19
Padova U190-0Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U191-2Padova U19
Padova U192-0Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U191-2Padova U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Brescia U19 1477 · Padova U19 1515

	Union Brescia U19	Draw	Padova U19
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Padova U19: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Brescia U19	Padova U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +8’	2.05	3.60	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Brescia U19 1–1–4 Padova U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Padova U19	2-3 HT 1-1	Union Brescia U19
13/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	1-2 HT 0-1	Padova U19
08/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Padova U19	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Brescia U19
23/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	1-2 HT 1-2	Padova U19
10/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Padova U19	2-0 HT 1-0	Union Brescia U19
25/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	1-2 HT 1-1	Padova U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	7	4	3	0	20	9	15
2	Cremonese U19	7	5	0	2	15	8	15
3	Renate U19	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
4	Venezia U19	7	4	1	2	13	9	13
5	Vicenza U19	7	3	3	1	11	6	12
6	Udinese U19	7	4	0	3	15	13	12
7	Virtus Entella U19	7	3	2	2	12	9	11
8	Lecco U19	7	3	2	2	8	11	11
9	Padova U19	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
10	Union Brescia U19	7	2	2	3	10	15	8
11	Cittadella U19	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
12	Mantova U19	7	1	4	2	8	12	7
13	Modena U19	7	1	2	4	11	14	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
15	Sudtirol U19	7	0	4	3	5	10	4
16	Reggiana U19	7	0	2	5	2	10	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Brescia U19	Padova U19
Renate U19	0-0 D	1-2 L
Sampdoria U19	1-5 L	0-4 L
Venezia U19	1-1 D	1-0 W
Udinese U19	4-2 W	4-0 W
Virtus Entella U19	1-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Brescia U19

WLLLWDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
24/10	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/10	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
10/10	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/09	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	4-2	6	4	W
05/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
09/05	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
02/05	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
25/04	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W

Padova U19

WDWWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
24/10	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
17/10	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	2	0	L
10/10	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
19/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-4	1	4	L
12/09	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
05/09	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	4-0	4-0	2	4	W
23/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
16/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-1	13	2	D
09/05	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Brescia U19 vs Padova U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Brescia U19 win (44%). Probabilities: Union Brescia U19 44%, draw 25%, Padova U19 31%.

How many goals are expected in Union Brescia U19 vs Padova U19?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Union Brescia U19 1.73 · Padova U19 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Brescia U19 vs Padova U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.