Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Lecco U19 vs Sampdoria U19

Team pages: Lecco U19 · Sampdoria U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

Lecco U191.67

Sampdoria U192.02

1X2

31% 24% 45%

Lecco U19 Draw Sampdoria U19

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Lecco U19 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLWDWW

Sampdoria U19 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Lecco U19 1–1 Sampdoria U19 (2 last)

Lecco U191-3Sampdoria U19
Sampdoria U192-3Lecco U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lecco U19 1488 · Sampdoria U19 1566

	Lecco U19	Draw	Sampdoria U19
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sampdoria U19 (rating 1488 vs 1566).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lecco U19	Sampdoria U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	2.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/50/38%	57/14/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:17 +3’	2.90	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lecco U19 1–0–1 Sampdoria U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Lecco U19	1-3 HT 0-2	Sampdoria U19
06/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Sampdoria U19	2-3 HT 1-2	Lecco U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	7	4	3	0	20	9	15
2	Cremonese U19	7	5	0	2	15	8	15
3	Renate U19	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
4	Venezia U19	7	4	1	2	13	9	13
5	Vicenza U19	7	3	3	1	11	6	12
6	Udinese U19	7	4	0	3	15	13	12
7	Virtus Entella U19	7	3	2	2	12	9	11
8	Lecco U19	7	3	2	2	8	11	11
9	Padova U19	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
10	Union Brescia U19	7	2	2	3	10	15	8
11	Cittadella U19	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
12	Mantova U19	7	1	4	2	8	12	7
13	Modena U19	7	1	2	4	11	14	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
15	Sudtirol U19	7	0	4	3	5	10	4
16	Reggiana U19	7	0	2	5	2	10	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lecco U19	Sampdoria U19
Union Brescia U19	3-1 W	5-1 W
Sudtirol U19	2-2 D	2-1 W
Pro Vercelli U19	0-0 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sampdoria U19 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lecco U19

LDLLDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/10	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
17/10	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
10/10	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-4	7	6	L
12/09	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
05/09	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-4	4	3	L
23/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-5	8	0	L
16/05	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
09/05	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	8	10	L

Sampdoria U19

LWWDWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	5-1	5	2	W
10/10	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	4-0	6	2	W
19/09	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-3	4-4	5	3	D
12/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
05/09	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-0	5	1	D
09/05	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	4	10	W
02/05	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
25/04	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lecco U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sampdoria U19 win (45%). Probabilities: Lecco U19 31%, draw 24%, Sampdoria U19 45%.

How many goals are expected in Lecco U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Lecco U19 1.67 · Sampdoria U19 2.02), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lecco U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.