Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30
Prediction: Avellino U19 vs Palermo U19
Team pages: Avellino U19 · Palermo U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Avellino U191.38
Palermo U191.3
1X2
Avellino U19
Draw
Palermo U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Avellino U19
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Palermo U19
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avellino U19
2–2–2
Palermo U19
(6 last)
- Avellino U193-1Palermo U19
- Palermo U192-2Avellino U19
- Avellino U190-2Palermo U19
- Palermo U192-2Avellino U19
- Avellino U191-0Palermo U19
- Palermo U196-0Avellino U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Avellino U19 1507 · Palermo U19 1533
| Avellino U19 | Draw | Palermo U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avellino U19 | Palermo U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/43/43% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.6 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.7 | 4.2 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avellino U19 2–2–2 Palermo U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Avellino U19 | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Palermo U19 |
| 02/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Avellino U19 |
| 25/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Avellino U19 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Palermo U19 |
| 14/09/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Avellino U19 |
| 04/02/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Avellino U19 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Palermo U19 |
| 28/04/18 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 6-0 | Avellino U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Benevento U19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Perugia U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Palermo U19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Monopoli U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Bari U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino U19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Latina U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Napoli U19 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Spezia U19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Pisa U19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
| 13 | Cosenza U19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 4 |
| 15 | Ascoli U19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avellino U19 | Palermo U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro U19 | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Perugia U19 | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Salernitana U19 | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Palermo U19 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avellino U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Palermo U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/10 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 17/10 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/09 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avellino U19 vs Palermo U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avellino U19 win (38%). Probabilities: Avellino U19 38%, draw 27%, Palermo U19 35%.
How many goals are expected in Avellino U19 vs Palermo U19?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Avellino U19 1.38 · Palermo U19 1.3), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Avellino U19 vs Palermo U19?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.