Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Salernitana U19 vs Pisa U19

Team pages: Salernitana U19 · Pisa U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Salernitana U191.2

Pisa U192.36

1X2

17% 21% 62%

Salernitana U19 Draw Pisa U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Salernitana U19 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Pisa U19 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Salernitana U19 1–1–4 Pisa U19 (6 last)

Salernitana U191-1Pisa U19
Pisa U194-0Salernitana U19
Salernitana U191-3Pisa U19
Pisa U193-0Salernitana U19
Salernitana U191-0Pisa U19
Pisa U193-0Salernitana U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salernitana U19 1403 · Pisa U19 1449

	Salernitana U19	Draw	Pisa U19
Our model	17%	20%	62%
Market	17%	21%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pisa U19 (rating 1403 vs 1449).
H2H favours Pisa U19: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salernitana U19	Pisa U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.9	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.9	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/25/75%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	2.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.9	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.33

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +15’	5.25	4.33	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana U19 1–1–4 Pisa U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	1-1 HT 1-0	Pisa U19
25/10/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	4-0 HT 2-0	Salernitana U19
15/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	1-3 HT 0-1	Pisa U19
28/09/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	3-0 HT 2-0	Salernitana U19
03/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	1-0 HT 0-0	Pisa U19
30/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	3-0 HT 2-0	Salernitana U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	7	6	1	0	19	6	19
2	Benevento U19	7	5	1	1	20	7	16
3	Perugia U19	7	5	0	2	18	4	15
4	Palermo U19	7	4	3	0	13	8	15
5	Monopoli U19	7	3	3	1	12	7	12
6	Bari U19	7	3	3	1	11	6	12
7	Avellino U19	7	4	0	3	12	11	12
8	Latina U19	7	3	2	2	15	11	11
9	Pescara U19	7	3	2	2	15	14	11
10	Napoli U19	7	2	3	2	10	10	9
11	Spezia U19	7	2	1	4	11	14	7
12	Pisa U19	7	2	0	5	11	14	6
13	Cosenza U19	7	1	1	5	7	18	4
14	Frosinone U19	7	1	1	5	5	20	4
15	Ascoli U19	7	0	2	5	7	17	2
16	Salernitana U19	7	0	1	6	5	24	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salernitana U19	Pisa U19
Perugia U19	0-6 L	2-3 L
Bari U19	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pisa U19 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salernitana U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	1	12	L
17/10	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	3-3	3	6	D
10/10	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
19/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-5	0-6	3	4	L
12/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
05/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
09/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
02/05	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-2	8	6	D

Pisa U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
24/10	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
17/10	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
10/10	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
19/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
12/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
04/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
16/05	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
09/05	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
02/05	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-3	9	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salernitana U19 vs Pisa U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pisa U19 win (62%). Probabilities: Salernitana U19 17%, draw 21%, Pisa U19 62%.

How many goals are expected in Salernitana U19 vs Pisa U19?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Salernitana U19 1.2 · Pisa U19 2.36), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Salernitana U19 vs Pisa U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.