Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 04/11, 22:00

Prediction: HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC

Team pages: HYH Export Sebaco FC · Matagalpa FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

HYH Export Sebaco FC1.56

Matagalpa FC1.08

1X2

47% 28% 25%

HYH Export Sebaco FC Draw Matagalpa FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

HYH Export Sebaco FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Matagalpa FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HYH Export Sebaco FC 2–1–3 Matagalpa FC (6 last)

Matagalpa FC0-3HYH Export Sebaco FC
Matagalpa FC2-1HYH Export Sebaco FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-1Matagalpa FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC2-0Matagalpa FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-0Matagalpa FC
Matagalpa FC3-2HYH Export Sebaco FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Matagalpa FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HYH Export Sebaco FC	Matagalpa FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	0.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	1.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.6	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	3.63 → 3.63	Pinn 3.63

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
11:43 +21’	1.85	3.51	3.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HYH Export Sebaco FC 2–1–3 Matagalpa FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Nicaragua Apertura	Matagalpa FC	0-3 HT 0-2	HYH Export Sebaco FC
26/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Matagalpa FC	2-1 HT 0-1	HYH Export Sebaco FC
19/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura	HYH Export Sebaco FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
27/11/25 Nicaragua Play-Offs	HYH Export Sebaco FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
21/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	HYH Export Sebaco FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
17/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Matagalpa FC	3-2 HT 1-1	HYH Export Sebaco FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	16	13	2	1	49	15	41
2	Diriangen	16	11	3	2	32	16	36
3	Real Esteli	16	9	4	3	31	16	31
4	UNAN Managua	16	7	4	5	18	20	25
5	CD Walter Ferretti	16	6	3	7	32	26	21
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	15	5	2	8	17	31	17
7	San Marcos FC	16	4	4	8	18	25	16
8	Jalapa	16	4	3	9	15	21	15
9	Matagalpa FC	15	3	1	11	7	32	10
10	Rancho Santana FC	16	2	4	10	13	30	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HYH Export Sebaco FC	Matagalpa FC
Real Esteli	2-4 L	1-4 L
Managua FC	0-3 L	1-4 L
Diriangen	1-3 L	0-3 L
Jalapa	1-4 L	0-2 L
Rancho Santana FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
San Marcos FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
UNAN Managua	1-3 L	1-0 W
CD Walter Ferretti	1-1 D	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: HYH Export Sebaco FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HYH Export Sebaco FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	2-4	4	2	L
28/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
26/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-3	7	6	L
18/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
15/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
10/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
06/09	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
02/09	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
30/08	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-5	3	5	L

Matagalpa FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
29/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
18/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
15/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-5	–	–	L
11/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-3	1-4	0	0	L
07/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
30/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HYH Export Sebaco FC win (47%). Probabilities: HYH Export Sebaco FC 47%, draw 28%, Matagalpa FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC?

The model expects 2.64 goals (HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.56 · Matagalpa FC 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.