Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 31/10, 23:00

Prediction: Jalapa vs Diriangen

Team pages: Jalapa · Diriangen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Jalapa1.41

Diriangen1.41

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Jalapa Draw Diriangen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Jalapa 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLDWWW

Diriangen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Jalapa 1–2–3 Diriangen (6 last)

Diriangen2-0Jalapa
Jalapa2-1Diriangen
Diriangen2-1Jalapa
Diriangen0-0Jalapa
Jalapa2-3Diriangen
Jalapa2-2Diriangen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diriangen (rating 1506 vs 1560).
H2H favours Diriangen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jalapa	Diriangen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.4	3.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.33▲	Pinn 3.33
X	3.32 → 3.47▲	Pinn 3.47
2	2.02 → 2.01▼	Pinn 2.01

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +11’	3.30	3.32	2.02
17:22 +4’	3.28▼	3.42▲	1.99▼
21:30 +1’	3.33▲	3.47▲	2.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jalapa 1–2–3 Diriangen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura	Diriangen	2-0 HT 2-0	Jalapa
01/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Jalapa	2-1 HT 0-1	Diriangen
24/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Diriangen	2-1 HT 0-0	Jalapa
28/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Diriangen	0-0 HT 0-0	Jalapa
24/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Jalapa	2-3 HT 2-1	Diriangen
13/04/25 Nicaragua Clausura	Jalapa	2-2 HT 1-1	Diriangen

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	15	12	2	1	45	15	38
2	Diriangen	16	11	3	2	32	16	36
3	Real Esteli	16	9	4	3	31	16	31
4	UNAN Managua	15	7	4	4	18	16	25
5	CD Walter Ferretti	15	6	3	6	31	24	21
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	15	5	2	8	17	31	17
7	Jalapa	16	4	3	9	15	21	15
8	San Marcos FC	15	3	4	8	16	24	13
9	Matagalpa FC	14	3	1	10	7	31	10
10	Rancho Santana FC	15	1	4	10	12	30	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jalapa	Diriangen
Matagalpa FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
UNAN Managua	2-0 W	3-1 W
HYH Export Sebaco FC	4-1 W	3-1 W
Real Esteli	1-1 D	1-2 L
Managua FC	0-1 L	3-3 D
CD Walter Ferretti	2-2 D	2-4 L
San Marcos FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Rancho Santana FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Diriangen (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jalapa

LLDLDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/10	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
16/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
04/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
06/09	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
03/09	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
30/08	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
23/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

Diriangen

WDWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	1-2	10	10	L
26/10	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	3-1	0	6	W
19/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/10	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	4	9	W
11/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	2-4	5	4	L
07/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
10/09	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
07/09	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
04/09	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-2	3-3	2	9	D
30/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jalapa vs Diriangen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jalapa win (36%). Probabilities: Jalapa 36%, draw 28%, Diriangen 36%.

How many goals are expected in Jalapa vs Diriangen?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Jalapa 1.41 · Diriangen 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jalapa vs Diriangen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.