Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 30/10, 02:00

Prediction: UNAN Managua vs CD Walter Ferretti

Team pages: UNAN Managua · CD Walter Ferretti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

UNAN Managua1.31

CD Walter Ferretti1.67

1X2

29% 26% 45%

UNAN Managua Draw CD Walter Ferretti

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

UNAN Managua 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDLWL

CD Walter Ferretti 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDWWWW

Head-to-head

UNAN Managua 1–1–4 CD Walter Ferretti (6 last)

CD Walter Ferretti0-1UNAN Managua
CD Walter Ferretti2-0UNAN Managua
UNAN Managua0-0CD Walter Ferretti
UNAN Managua1-4CD Walter Ferretti
CD Walter Ferretti3-0UNAN Managua
CD Walter Ferretti3-0UNAN Managua

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UNAN Managua 1495 · CD Walter Ferretti 1546

	UNAN Managua	Draw	CD Walter Ferretti
Our model	29%	26%	45%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Walter Ferretti (rating 1495 vs 1546).
H2H favours CD Walter Ferretti: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UNAN Managua	CD Walter Ferretti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2	4.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.8	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:29 +11’	3.10	3.40	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UNAN Managua 1–1–4 CD Walter Ferretti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura	CD Walter Ferretti	0-1 HT 0-0	UNAN Managua
27/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	2-0 HT 1-0	UNAN Managua
19/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura	UNAN Managua	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Walter Ferretti
21/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	UNAN Managua	1-4 HT 1-1	CD Walter Ferretti
18/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura	CD Walter Ferretti	3-0 HT 1-0	UNAN Managua
20/03/25 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	3-0 HT 2-0	UNAN Managua

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	14	11	2	1	42	15	35
2	Diriangen	14	10	3	1	29	14	33
3	Real Esteli	14	7	4	3	25	13	25
4	UNAN Managua	14	7	3	4	17	15	24
5	CD Walter Ferretti	14	6	2	6	30	23	20
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	13	5	2	6	15	24	17
7	Jalapa	14	3	3	8	13	19	12
8	San Marcos FC	14	3	3	8	14	22	12
9	Matagalpa FC	13	3	1	9	7	29	10
10	Rancho Santana FC	14	1	3	10	10	28	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UNAN Managua	CD Walter Ferretti
Jalapa	0-2 L	2-2 D
San Marcos FC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Diriangen	1-3 L	4-2 W
Rancho Santana FC	1-1 D	4-1 W
Real Esteli	1-0 W	3-1 W
HYH Export Sebaco FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Matagalpa FC	0-1 L	5-1 W
Managua FC	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Walter Ferretti (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UNAN Managua

WWLLWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-1	3-2	0	8	W
15/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	1-3	0	9	L
12/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
08/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
06/09	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-1	1	6	W
04/09	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
31/08	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/08	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
17/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-1	5	2	W

CD Walter Ferretti

WLLDLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	4-1	11	3	W
19/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-1	2	8	W
15/10	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
11/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	4-2	3	4	W
04/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
07/09	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-1	2-3	6	7	L
02/09	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
31/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
24/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
16/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UNAN Managua vs CD Walter Ferretti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Walter Ferretti win (45%). Probabilities: UNAN Managua 29%, draw 26%, CD Walter Ferretti 45%.

How many goals are expected in UNAN Managua vs CD Walter Ferretti?

The model expects 2.97 goals (UNAN Managua 1.31 · CD Walter Ferretti 1.67), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UNAN Managua vs CD Walter Ferretti?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.