Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 02/11, 02:00

Prediction: Managua FC vs UNAN Managua

Team pages: Managua FC · UNAN Managua

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Managua FC2.39

UNAN Managua0.74

1X2

74% 17% 9%

Managua FC Draw UNAN Managua

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Managua FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWLW

UNAN Managua 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDLWLD

Head-to-head

Managua FC 4–1–1 UNAN Managua (6 last)

UNAN Managua0-2Managua FC
Managua FC1-1UNAN Managua
Managua FC2-1UNAN Managua
UNAN Managua3-1Managua FC
UNAN Managua0-3Managua FC
Managua FC1-0UNAN Managua

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Managua FC 1590 · UNAN Managua 1485

	Managua FC	Draw	UNAN Managua
Our model	73%	18%	9%
Market	74%	16%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1590 vs 1485).
H2H favours Managua FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Managua FC	UNAN Managua
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	0.9 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	6 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.95

2 (+2)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22
X	5.25 → 5.50▲	Pinn 6.13 ★
2	8.00 → 9.50▲	Pinn 10.06

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:35 +21’	1.25	5.25	8.00
20:09 +10’	1.33▲	4.75▼	6.50▼
03:10 +6’	1.27▼	5.25▲	7.00▲
12:34 +9’	1.22▼	5.50▲	9.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +7’	1.18	6.29	10.51
02:34 +42’	1.19▲	6.13▼	10.06▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Managua FC 4–1–1 UNAN Managua

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura	UNAN Managua	0-2 HT 0-1	Managua FC
19/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Managua FC	1-1 HT 1-1	UNAN Managua
19/03/26 Nicaragua Cup	Managua FC	2-1 HT 0-0	UNAN Managua
20/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	UNAN Managua	3-1 HT 0-1	Managua FC
06/11/25 Nicaragua Apertura	UNAN Managua	0-3 HT 0-2	Managua FC
18/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Managua FC	1-0 HT 0-0	UNAN Managua

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	15	12	2	1	45	15	38
2	Diriangen	16	11	3	2	32	16	36
3	Real Esteli	16	9	4	3	31	16	31
4	UNAN Managua	15	7	4	4	18	16	25
5	CD Walter Ferretti	15	6	3	6	31	24	21
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	15	5	2	8	17	31	17
7	Jalapa	16	4	3	9	15	21	15
8	San Marcos FC	15	3	4	8	16	24	13
9	Matagalpa FC	14	3	1	10	7	31	10
10	Rancho Santana FC	15	1	4	10	12	30	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Managua FC	UNAN Managua
HYH Export Sebaco FC	3-0 W	3-1 W
Real Esteli	1-2 L	1-0 W
Matagalpa FC	4-1 W	0-1 L
San Marcos FC	3-2 W	3-2 W
Jalapa	1-0 W	0-2 L
Rancho Santana FC	6-1 W	1-1 D
CD Walter Ferretti	3-2 W	1-1 D
Diriangen	3-3 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Managua FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Managua FC

WDWDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-2	5	11	L
18/10	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	4-1	9	4	W
15/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
11/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
03/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	6-1	5	6	W
11/09	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
07/09	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	1-2	3-2	5	7	W
04/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	2-2	3-3	8	9	D
31/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	10	4	W

UNAN Managua

WLLWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	3	10	D
25/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-1	3-2	0	8	W
15/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	1-3	0	9	L
12/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
08/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
06/09	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-1	1	6	W
04/09	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
31/08	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/08	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Managua FC vs UNAN Managua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Managua FC win (74%). Probabilities: Managua FC 74%, draw 17%, UNAN Managua 9%.

How many goals are expected in Managua FC vs UNAN Managua?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Managua FC 2.39 · UNAN Managua 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Managua FC vs UNAN Managua?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.