Football · Spain Segunda · 08/11, 17:00
Prediction: Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B
Team pages: Sabadell · Real Sociedad B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Sabadell1.74
Real Sociedad B0.97
1X2
Sabadell
Draw
Real Sociedad B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sabadell
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Real Sociedad B
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sabadell
1–1–2
Real Sociedad B
(4 last)
- Real Sociedad B0-1Sabadell
- Sabadell1-2Real Sociedad B
- Real Sociedad B1-1Sabadell
- Sabadell1-2Real Sociedad B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sabadell 1510 · Real Sociedad B 1450
| Sabadell | Draw | Real Sociedad B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabadell (rating 1510 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Real Sociedad B: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sabadell | Real Sociedad B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabadell 1–1–2 Real Sociedad B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Real Sociedad B | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sabadell |
| 05/11/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Sabadell | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Real Sociedad B |
| 02/04/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Real Sociedad B | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sabadell |
| 05/11/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Sabadell | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Real Sociedad B |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castellon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 22 |
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sabadell | Real Sociedad B |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Burgos | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| AD Ceuta FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Andorra | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Celta Fortuna | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Mallorca | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Almeria | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sabadell
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Real Sociedad B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 24/10 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Granada Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sabadell win (54%). Probabilities: Sabadell 54%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad B 20%.
How many goals are expected in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Sabadell 1.74 · Real Sociedad B 0.97), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.