Football · Spain Segunda · 14/11, 21:00

Prediction: Oviedo vs Girona

Team pages: Oviedo · Girona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Oviedo1.49

Girona1.23

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Oviedo Draw Girona

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Oviedo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWWDLW

Girona 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDWWL

Head-to-head

Oviedo 1–2–3 Girona (6 last)

Oviedo1-0Girona
Girona3-3Oviedo
Girona2-1Oviedo
Oviedo0-0Girona
Oviedo0-1Girona
Girona1-0Oviedo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Girona: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oviedo	Girona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	1.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.01

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.43 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.45
X	3.27 → 3.31▲	Pinn 3.31
2	2.94 → 2.98▲	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +11’	2.43	3.27	2.94
18:02 +20’	2.45▲	3.31▲	2.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oviedo 1–2–3 Girona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Spain La Liga	Oviedo	1-0 HT 0-0	Girona
25/10/25 Spain La Liga	Girona	3-3 HT 0-1	Oviedo
06/03/22 Spain Segunda	Girona	2-1 HT 1-0	Oviedo
26/09/21 Spain Segunda	Oviedo	0-0 HT 0-0	Girona
25/04/21 Spain Segunda	Oviedo	0-1 HT 0-0	Girona
18/10/20 Spain Segunda	Girona	1-0 HT 0-0	Oviedo

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
5	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
7	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	22
8	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
10	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	22	22	19
11	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
12	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	13	3	4	6	19	25	13
17	Leganes	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	16	18	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	13	24	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	10	30	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oviedo	Girona
Cadiz	2-1 W	2-1 W
Las Palmas	2-3 L	5-2 W
Sporting Gijon	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Girona (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oviedo

DWLWLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Cadiz Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	4	10	W
02/11	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-2	2-3	7	3	L
24/10	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-2	2-2	7	7	D
18/10	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
12/10	Eibar Spain Segunda	2-0	3-1	10	7	W
02/10	Eldense Spain Segunda	1-0	1-4	8	6	L
27/09	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	5	11	W
20/09	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-2	1-3	1	4	L
13/09	Valladolid Spain Segunda	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
06/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	9	7	D

Girona

WWLWWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
24/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	4-0	5-1	7	5	W
18/10	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/10	Tenerife Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
04/10	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
25/09	Albacete Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
19/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	4	7	W
12/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
05/09	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	4	W
29/08	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	1-0	5-2	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oviedo vs Girona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oviedo win (42%). Probabilities: Oviedo 42%, draw 28%, Girona 30%.

How many goals are expected in Oviedo vs Girona?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Oviedo 1.49 · Girona 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Oviedo vs Girona?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.