Football · Spain Segunda · 15/11, 18:30

Prediction: Eldense vs Sabadell

Team pages: Eldense · Sabadell

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Eldense1.23

Sabadell1.04

1X2

40% 30% 30%

Eldense Draw Sabadell

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Eldense 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWWWLL

Sabadell 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWLDL

Head-to-head

Eldense 3–2–1 Sabadell (6 last)

Eldense2-1Sabadell
Sabadell0-0Eldense
Eldense1-0Sabadell
Sabadell1-3Eldense
Eldense0-5Sabadell
Sabadell1-1Eldense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eldense 1511 · Sabadell 1505

	Eldense	Draw	Sabadell
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eldense: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eldense	Sabadell
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

23.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.92

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.57 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +8’	2.30	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:08 +3’	2.57	3.17	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eldense 3–2–1 Sabadell

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Eldense	2-1 HT 1-0	Sabadell
30/08/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Sabadell	0-0 HT 0-0	Eldense
19/02/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Eldense	1-0 HT 0-0	Sabadell
09/10/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Sabadell	1-3 HT 0-2	Eldense
09/04/17 Spain Segunda B Group 3	Eldense	0-5	Sabadell
13/11/16 Spain Segunda B Group 3	Sabadell	1-1 HT 1-0	Eldense

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	24	10	29
2	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
5	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	14	15	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	22	12	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
10	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	22	22	19
11	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	22	20	18
12	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
13	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	15	17	15
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	13	3	4	6	19	25	13
17	Leganes	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
18	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	17	22	11
19	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	16	18	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	13	24	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	10	30	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eldense	Sabadell
Albacete	0-2 L	1-2 L
Cordoba	2-1 W	3-2 W
Oviedo	4-1 W	3-1 W
Burgos	0-1 L	0-1 L
Mallorca	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eldense (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eldense

LDWLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
25/10	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	4	8	L
18/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	2	8	W
10/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
02/10	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-1	4-1	6	6	W
27/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
19/09	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
13/09	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
29/08	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	8	1	L

Sabadell

WWLWDDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
25/10	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
18/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
04/10	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
26/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	Oviedo Spain Segunda	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
07/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eldense vs Sabadell?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eldense win (40%). Probabilities: Eldense 40%, draw 30%, Sabadell 30%.

How many goals are expected in Eldense vs Sabadell?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Eldense 1.23 · Sabadell 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eldense vs Sabadell?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.