Football · Spain Segunda · 15/11, 16:15
Prediction: Granada vs Las Palmas
Team pages: Granada · Las Palmas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Granada1.89
Las Palmas1.11
1X2
Granada
Draw
Las Palmas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Granada
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Las Palmas
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Granada
1–3–2
Las Palmas
(6 last)
- Las Palmas2-0Granada
- Granada0-0Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-1Granada
- Granada1-1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-0Granada
- Granada2-1Las Palmas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granada (rating 1554 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Las Palmas: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Granada | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Granada 1–3–2 Las Palmas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Spain Segunda | Las Palmas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Granada |
| 10/10/25 Spain Segunda | Granada | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Las Palmas |
| 25/07/24 Europe Friendlies | Las Palmas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Granada |
| 03/02/24 Spain La Liga | Granada | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Las Palmas |
| 24/09/23 Spain La Liga | Las Palmas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Granada |
| 15/04/23 Spain Segunda | Granada | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Las Palmas |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
| 11 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Granada | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Cadiz | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Burgos | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Real Sociedad B | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Leganes | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Eibar | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Granada (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Granada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/10 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 04/10 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Las Palmas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Granada vs Las Palmas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Granada win (55%). Probabilities: Granada 55%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 21%.
How many goals are expected in Granada vs Las Palmas?
The model expects 3 goals (Granada 1.89 · Las Palmas 1.11), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Granada vs Las Palmas?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.