Football · Spain Segunda · 15/11, 18:30

Prediction: Eibar vs Cadiz

Team pages: Eibar · Cadiz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Eibar2.05

Cadiz1

1X2

61% 23% 17%

Eibar Draw Cadiz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Eibar 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDLD

Cadiz 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Eibar 2–1–3 Cadiz (6 last)

Eibar3-1Cadiz
Cadiz1-0Eibar
Cadiz0-0Eibar
Eibar1-0Cadiz
Cadiz1-0Eibar
Eibar0-2Cadiz

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eibar (rating 1555 vs 1453).
H2H favours Cadiz: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eibar	Cadiz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 2.9	1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	4.06 → 4.06	Pinn 4.06
2	5.28 → 5.28	Pinn 5.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:51 +16’	1.62	4.06	5.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eibar 2–1–3 Cadiz

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Spain Segunda	Eibar	3-1 HT 2-0	Cadiz
13/09/25 Spain Segunda	Cadiz	1-0 HT 0-0	Eibar
31/03/25 Spain Segunda	Cadiz	0-0 HT 0-0	Eibar
23/10/24 Spain Segunda	Eibar	1-0 HT 1-0	Cadiz
06/03/21 Spain La Liga	Cadiz	1-0 HT 1-0	Eibar
30/10/20 Spain La Liga	Eibar	0-2 HT 0-2	Cadiz

Standings · Spain Segunda

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	24	10	29
2	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
5	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
7	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	22	12	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
10	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	22	22	19
11	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
12	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	13	3	4	6	19	25	13
17	Leganes	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	16	18	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	13	24	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	10	30	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eibar	Cadiz
Almeria	1-1 D	2-3 L
Mallorca	1-1 D	1-2 L
Oviedo	1-3 L	1-2 L
Las Palmas	3-2 W	0-1 L
Granada	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Eibar (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eibar

WWWWWWLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
24/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
17/10	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
12/10	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-2	1-3	5	7	L
03/10	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-1	3-1	0	3	W
27/09	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	6	8	W
19/09	Eldense Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
14/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	4-0	4-0	1	7	W
06/09	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
30/08	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Cadiz

LLLDWLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
02/11	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
25/10	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	0-1	3-1	3	7	W
18/10	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
11/10	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
03/10	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
26/09	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/09	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	2	7	L
12/09	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
06/09	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-3	2-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eibar vs Cadiz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eibar win (61%). Probabilities: Eibar 61%, draw 23%, Cadiz 17%.

How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Cadiz?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Eibar 2.05 · Cadiz 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Cadiz?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.