Prediction: Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC
Team pages: Tenerife · AD Ceuta FC
| Tenerife | Draw | AD Ceuta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tenerife (rating 1486 vs 1427).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tenerife | AD Ceuta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 18 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 15 | Leganes | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 15 |
| 16 | Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 14 |
| 17 | Celta Fortuna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 11 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tenerife | AD Ceuta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Celta Fortuna | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Cordoba | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Cadiz | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| CD Castellon | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Real Sociedad B | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Sporting Gijon | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Tenerife (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tenerife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 19/10 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | Girona Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/10 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 26/09 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
AD Ceuta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 25/10 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 18/10 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 11/09 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tenerife win (53%). Probabilities: Tenerife 53%, draw 26%, AD Ceuta FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Tenerife 1.65 · AD Ceuta FC 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.