Football · Spain Segunda · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: Leganes vs Albacete

Team pages: Leganes · Albacete

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Leganes1.53

Albacete1.01

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Leganes Draw Albacete

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Leganes 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLLDL

Albacete 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Leganes 3–1–2 Albacete (6 last)

Leganes0-0Albacete
Leganes2-1Albacete
Albacete1-3Leganes
Leganes1-2Albacete
Albacete1-0Leganes
Leganes2-0Albacete

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leganes 1450 · Albacete 1436

	Leganes	Draw	Albacete
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Leganes: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leganes	Albacete
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	3.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.90▼	Pinn 2.07 ★
X	3.30 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.54
2	3.40 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8.4% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:36 +2’	2.05	3.30	3.40
23:03 +16’	1.83▼	3.50▲	4.10▲
09:14 +3’	2.05▲	3.30▼	3.40▼
14:46 +4’	1.90▼	3.40▲	3.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +22’	2.02	3.58	3.64
18:26 +4’	2.07▲	3.54▼	3.54▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leganes 3–1–2 Albacete

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Leganes	0-0 HT 0-0	Albacete
11/04/26 Spain Segunda	Leganes	2-1 HT 0-1	Albacete
04/01/26 Spain Segunda	Albacete	1-3 HT 1-1	Leganes
04/12/25 Spain Copa del Rey	Leganes	1-2 HT 0-0	Albacete
12/05/24 Spain Segunda	Albacete	1-0 HT 1-0	Leganes
27/08/23 Spain Segunda	Leganes	2-0 HT 1-0	Albacete

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
3	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
4	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
5	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
6	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	22
7	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	21
8	Burgos	12	6	3	3	17	13	21
9	Oviedo	12	5	3	4	17	15	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
11	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
12	Cordoba	12	5	1	6	19	22	16
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	12	3	4	5	18	23	13
17	Leganes	12	3	3	6	10	20	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	15	16	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	12	2	1	9	10	23	7
22	AD Ceuta FC	12	1	2	9	10	27	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leganes	Albacete
Valladolid	3-4 L	0-5 L
Cordoba	0-1 L	1-2 L
CD Castellon	0-2 L	0-2 L
Granada	3-2 W	1-1 D
Eldense	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Leganes (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leganes

WDLWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Valladolid Spain Segunda	1-3	3-4	4	6	L
24/10	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
16/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
11/10	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
03/10	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
28/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
20/09	Granada Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	6	6	W
13/09	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
04/09	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/08	Eldense Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	0	1	W

Albacete

LLDLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
25/10	Eldense Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	10	8	W
17/10	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
12/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-4	0-5	5	6	L
03/10	Eibar Spain Segunda	1-0	1-3	6	3	L
25/09	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
18/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
12/09	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
29/08	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leganes vs Albacete?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leganes win (48%). Probabilities: Leganes 48%, draw 28%, Albacete 24%.

How many goals are expected in Leganes vs Albacete?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Leganes 1.53 · Albacete 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leganes vs Albacete?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.