Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 08/11, 22:00
Prediction: CD Platense vs Genesis de Comayagua
Team pages: CD Platense · Genesis de Comayagua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
CD Platense1.31
Genesis de Comayagua1.51
1X2
CD Platense
Draw
Genesis de Comayagua
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Platense
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Genesis de Comayagua
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Platense
0–3–2
Genesis de Comayagua
(5 last)
- Genesis de Comayagua3-0CD Platense
- CD Platense0-1Genesis de Comayagua
- Genesis de Comayagua2-2CD Platense
- CD Platense1-1Genesis de Comayagua
- Genesis de Comayagua1-1CD Platense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Platense 1416 · Genesis de Comayagua 1463
| CD Platense | Draw | Genesis de Comayagua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genesis de Comayagua (rating 1416 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Genesis de Comayagua: 2-3-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Platense | Genesis de Comayagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Platense 0–3–2 Genesis de Comayagua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CD Platense |
| 08/04/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Genesis de Comayagua |
| 15/02/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 2-2 HT 2-1 | CD Platense |
| 07/12/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Genesis de Comayagua |
| 20/09/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CD Platense |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Motagua | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | CD Marathon | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Estrella Roja | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 19 |
| 6 | Olancho FC | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Lobos UPNFM | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico Choloma | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | Genesis de Comayagua | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 38 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Platense | Genesis de Comayagua |
|---|---|---|
| CD Marathon | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Olancho FC | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Real Espana | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Motagua | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Juticalpa | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Lobos UPNFM | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Estrella Roja | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| CD Olimpia | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Choloma | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 7 L | 1 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Genesis de Comayagua (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Platense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/11 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/10 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/09 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
Genesis de Comayagua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 31/10 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 18/10 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 13 | L |
| 10/10 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Platense vs Genesis de Comayagua?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Genesis de Comayagua win (41%). Probabilities: CD Platense 32%, draw 27%, Genesis de Comayagua 41%.
How many goals are expected in CD Platense vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The model expects 2.82 goals (CD Platense 1.31 · Genesis de Comayagua 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Platense vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.