Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 06/11, 00:15
Prediction: Atletico Choloma vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Team pages: Atletico Choloma · CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Atletico Choloma1.46
CA Independiente Siguatepeque1.25
1X2
Atletico Choloma
Draw
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Choloma
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Choloma
2–3–1
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
(6 last)
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque2-1Atletico Choloma
- Atletico Choloma2-1CA Independiente Siguatepeque
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque1-1Atletico Choloma
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque2-2Atletico Choloma
- Atletico Choloma1-0CA Independiente Siguatepeque
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque2-2Atletico Choloma
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Choloma 1482 · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1463
| Atletico Choloma | Draw | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Choloma: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Choloma | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Choloma 2–3–1 CA Independiente Siguatepeque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Atletico Choloma |
| 08/06/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Atletico Choloma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque |
| 01/06/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Choloma |
| 20/10/22 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico Choloma |
| 26/09/21 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Atletico Choloma | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque |
| 01/04/21 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Choloma |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Motagua | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | CD Marathon | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Olancho FC | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Estrella Roja | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 16 |
| 7 | Lobos UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Choloma | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis de Comayagua | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Choloma | CA Independiente Siguatepeque |
|---|---|---|
| CD Olimpia | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Genesis de Comayagua | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Juticalpa | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Motagua | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Estrella Roja | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Lobos UPNFM | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Olancho FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Espana | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Platense | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Marathon | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 5 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Choloma (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Choloma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 8 | L |
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/09 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Choloma vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Choloma win (41%). Probabilities: Atletico Choloma 41%, draw 27%, CA Independiente Siguatepeque 32%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Choloma vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Atletico Choloma 1.46 · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Choloma vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.