Football · Panama Liga Prom · 30/10, 21:00

Prediction: Potros Del Este vs Alianza FC Reserves

Team pages: Potros Del Este · Alianza FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Potros Del Este1.59

Alianza FC Reserves1.05

1X2

50% 25% 25%

Potros Del Este Draw Alianza FC Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Potros Del Este 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLDDLW

Alianza FC Reserves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLDWLL

Head-to-head

Potros Del Este 1–1–3 Alianza FC Reserves (5 last)

Alianza FC Reserves2-1Potros Del Este
Potros Del Este1-2Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves0-2Potros Del Este
Potros Del Este0-2Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves2-2Potros Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Potros Del Este 1440 · Alianza FC Reserves 1447

	Potros Del Este	Draw	Alianza FC Reserves
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	51%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alianza FC Reserves: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Potros Del Este	Alianza FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/75/13%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +7’	1.75	4.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Potros Del Este 1–1–3 Alianza FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	2-1 HT 1-1	Potros Del Este
17/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	1-2 HT 0-0	Alianza FC Reserves
30/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	0-2 HT 0-0	Potros Del Este
25/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	0-2	Alianza FC Reserves
15/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	2-2 HT 1-0	Potros Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	14	9	3	2	32	11	30
2	Tauro FC Reserves	14	7	5	2	28	19	26
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	14	7	3	4	32	21	24
4	Potros Del Este	14	4	3	7	14	17	15
5	Alianza FC Reserves	14	3	3	8	11	29	12
6	San Martin FC	14	2	1	11	17	33	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Potros Del Este	Alianza FC Reserves
San Martin FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves	2-3 L	1-1 D
Plaza Amador Reserves	0-0 D	1-4 L
Champions FC Academy	1-1 D	1-3 L
Academia Costa Del Este	2-3 L	0-2 L
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-2 L	1-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-1 L	1-2 L
Panama City FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
UMECIT Reserves	1-1 D	0-0 D
Chorrillo	0-1 L	1-7 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Potros Del Este (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Potros Del Este

LDLLLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	2-3	4	9	L
09/10	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
01/10	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
25/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	4	7	L
17/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-2	1	8	L
11/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	9	L

Alianza FC Reserves

DLLWLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-4	1-7	3	6	L
22/10	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-4	1	8	L
16/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
02/10	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
25/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
18/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
11/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
06/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
29/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	5	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Potros Del Este vs Alianza FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Potros Del Este win (50%). Probabilities: Potros Del Este 50%, draw 25%, Alianza FC Reserves 25%.

How many goals are expected in Potros Del Este vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Potros Del Este 1.59 · Alianza FC Reserves 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Potros Del Este vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.