Football · Panama Liga Prom · 07/11, 21:00

Prediction: UMECIT Reserves vs Panama City FC

Team pages: UMECIT Reserves · Panama City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

UMECIT Reserves0.63

Panama City FC2.07

1X2

10% 19% 71%

UMECIT Reserves Draw Panama City FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT Reserves 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDLLDL

Panama City FC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

UMECIT Reserves 4–2 Panama City FC (6 last)

Panama City FC0-1UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves2-0Panama City FC
Panama City FC1-0UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves4-1Panama City FC
Panama City FC0-1UMECIT Reserves
Panama City FC2-0UMECIT Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT Reserves 1418 · Panama City FC 1578

	UMECIT Reserves	Draw	Panama City FC
Our model	9%	21%	70%
Market	11%	18%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panama City FC (rating 1418 vs 1578).
H2H favours UMECIT Reserves: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT Reserves	Panama City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.3	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	2.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

18.50

X5.00

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:38 +5’	8.50	5.00	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT Reserves 4–0–2 Panama City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	0-1 HT 0-1	UMECIT Reserves
25/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	2-0	Panama City FC
08/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	1-0 HT 0-0	UMECIT Reserves
12/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	4-1 HT 1-1	Panama City FC
03/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	0-1 HT 0-1	UMECIT Reserves
06/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	2-0 HT 1-0	UMECIT Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	15	9	5	1	23	10	32
2	Academia Costa Del Este	15	10	1	4	30	22	31
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	15	7	3	5	24	25	24
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	15	5	4	6	25	16	19
5	Champions FC Academy	15	3	3	9	24	41	12
6	UMECIT Reserves	15	2	4	9	14	30	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT Reserves	Panama City FC
Champions FC Academy	0-2 L	5-3 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-0 D	1-0 W
Academia Costa Del Este	1-3 L	3-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-2 L	1-1 D
Alianza FC Reserves	0-0 D	1-0 W
Chorrillo	0-3 L	2-1 W
San Martin FC	2-4 L	2-0 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	4-6 L	2-2 D
Tauro FC Reserves	0-2 L	0-0 D
Potros Del Este	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 7 L	7 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Panama City FC (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT Reserves

DLLLLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-2	10	1	L
25/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-3	9	6	L
17/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
02/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
20/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-3	2-4	2	10	L
12/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	4-6	13	6	L
04/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	9	L
30/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D

Panama City FC

WWDDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/10	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-3	3	3	W
17/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
03/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
27/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
18/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-2	4	7	D
12/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
29/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT Reserves vs Panama City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Panama City FC win (71%). Probabilities: UMECIT Reserves 10%, draw 19%, Panama City FC 71%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT Reserves vs Panama City FC?

The model expects 2.7 goals (UMECIT Reserves 0.63 · Panama City FC 2.07), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT Reserves vs Panama City FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.