Football · Panama Liga Prom · 06/11, 21:00
Prediction: Alianza FC Reserves vs Tauro FC Reserves
Team pages: Alianza FC Reserves · Tauro FC Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Alianza FC Reserves1.32
Tauro FC Reserves1.93
1X2
Alianza FC Reserves
Draw
Tauro FC Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza FC Reserves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Tauro FC Reserves
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alianza FC Reserves
4–1–1
Tauro FC Reserves
(6 last)
- Tauro FC Reserves1-1Alianza FC Reserves
- Alianza FC Reserves2-1Tauro FC Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves1-2Alianza FC Reserves
- Alianza FC Reserves2-1Tauro FC Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves2-1Alianza FC Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves0-1Alianza FC Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alianza FC Reserves 1477 · Tauro FC Reserves 1533
| Alianza FC Reserves | Draw | Tauro FC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 23% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tauro FC Reserves (rating 1477 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Alianza FC Reserves: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza FC Reserves | Tauro FC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/44/44% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.8 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC Reserves 4–1–1 Tauro FC Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 09/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 25/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 10/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 01/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 03/04/25 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Tauro FC Reserves | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 24 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 15 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza FC Reserves | Tauro FC Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Potros Del Este | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Chorrillo | 1-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| San Martin FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| UMECIT Reserves | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Champions FC Academy | 1-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Panama City FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 5 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tauro FC Reserves (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/10 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
0-4 | 1-7 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/10 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/10 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/10 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Tauro FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/10 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 08/10 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/10 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 28/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza FC Reserves vs Tauro FC Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tauro FC Reserves win (51%). Probabilities: Alianza FC Reserves 25%, draw 24%, Tauro FC Reserves 51%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza FC Reserves vs Tauro FC Reserves?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Alianza FC Reserves 1.32 · Tauro FC Reserves 1.93), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza FC Reserves vs Tauro FC Reserves?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.