Football · Panama Liga Prom · 07/11, 21:00
Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este
Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves · Academia Costa Del Este
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.16
Academia Costa Del Este1.97
1X2
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Draw
Academia Costa Del Este
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Academia Costa Del Este
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
1–2–3
Academia Costa Del Este
(6 last)
- Academia Costa Del Este1-3Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves0-2Academia Costa Del Este
- Academia Costa Del Este1-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Academia Costa Del Este1-0Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Academia Costa Del Este2-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-3Academia Costa Del Este
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1505 · Academia Costa Del Este 1548
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Draw | Academia Costa Del Este | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1505 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Academia Costa Del Este | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 63/38/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.9 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1–2–3 Academia Costa Del Este
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 16/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Academia Costa Del Este |
| 31/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 20/11/25 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 11/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 31/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Academia Costa Del Este |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama City FC | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 | Academia Costa Del Este | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 31 |
| 3 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Champions FC Academy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 12 |
| 6 | UMECIT Reserves | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 10 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Academia Costa Del Este |
|---|---|---|
| Panama City FC | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Champions FC Academy | 5-3 W | 2-0 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| UMECIT Reserves | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Potros Del Este | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Chorrillo | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| San Martin FC | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 4 L | 7 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (3 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/10 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
3-3 | 5-3 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 21/10 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-3 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/10 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/09 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 8 | W |
| 11/09 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Academia Costa Del Este
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/10 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/10 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/10 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/10 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/09 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Costa Del Este win (55%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 21%, draw 24%, Academia Costa Del Este 55%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.16 · Academia Costa Del Este 1.97), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.