Football · Panama Liga Prom · 06/11, 22:00

Prediction: Plaza Amador Reserves vs San Martin FC

Team pages: Plaza Amador Reserves · San Martin FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Plaza Amador Reserves2.74

San Martin FC1.09

1X2

71% 17% 12%

Plaza Amador Reserves Draw San Martin FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWDWDL

San Martin FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Plaza Amador Reserves 5–1–0 San Martin FC (6 last)

San Martin FC2-3Plaza Amador Reserves
San Martin FC0-2Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves4-0San Martin FC
San Martin FC1-5Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves7-2San Martin FC
San Martin FC2-2Plaza Amador Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador Reserves 1568 · San Martin FC 1401

	Plaza Amador Reserves	Draw	San Martin FC
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador Reserves (rating 1568 vs 1401).
H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador Reserves	San Martin FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.5	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/29/14%	25/13/63%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +26’	1.25	5.25	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador Reserves 5–1–0 San Martin FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador Reserves
29/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador Reserves
03/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	4-0 HT 0-0	San Martin FC
21/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	1-5 HT 0-2	Plaza Amador Reserves
25/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	7-2 HT 5-1	San Martin FC
29/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Plaza Amador Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	15	10	3	2	34	12	33
2	Tauro FC Reserves	15	7	6	2	30	21	27
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	15	7	3	5	33	23	24
4	Potros Del Este	15	4	3	8	14	19	15
5	Alianza FC Reserves	15	4	3	8	13	29	15
6	San Martin FC	15	2	2	11	19	35	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador Reserves	San Martin FC
Chorrillo	1-2 L	1-3 L
Tauro FC Reserves	2-2 D	2-2 D
Alianza FC Reserves	4-1 W	0-1 L
Potros Del Este	0-0 D	0-1 L
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	4-0 W	0-1 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-0 W	0-7 L
Panama City FC	2-2 D	0-2 L
UMECIT Reserves	6-4 W	4-2 W
Champions FC Academy	6-1 W	2-2 D
Academia Costa Del Este	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador Reserves (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador Reserves

LWWDWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	4-1	8	8	W
09/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	1	7	D
12/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-4	3	6	W
04/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-1	3	3	W
28/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	0	5	L

San Martin FC

LLDWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	9	6	D
24/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
21/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
16/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
02/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-7	3	1	L
27/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
20/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	4-2	1	10	W
13/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-2	5	10	D
06/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	2-3	–	–	L
28/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador Reserves vs San Martin FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador Reserves win (71%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador Reserves 71%, draw 17%, San Martin FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador Reserves vs San Martin FC?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Plaza Amador Reserves 2.74 · San Martin FC 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador Reserves vs San Martin FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.