Football · Panama Liga Prom · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Udelas FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Team pages: Udelas FC · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Udelas FC1.81

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1.37

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Udelas FC Draw CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Udelas FC 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWD

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWLDD

Head-to-head

Udelas FC 1–1–4 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (6 last)

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-1Udelas FC
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-2Udelas FC
Udelas FC3-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves8-0Udelas FC
Udelas FC0-4CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Udelas FC0-2CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udelas FC 1617 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1536

	Udelas FC	Draw	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udelas FC (rating 1617 vs 1536).
H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Udelas FC	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.7	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	86/14/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.4	6.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.95▼	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:35 +16’	2.00	3.40	3.30
14:29 +5’	1.95▼	3.60▲	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Udelas FC 1–1–4 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-1 HT 0-1	Udelas FC
02/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-2 HT 2-0	Udelas FC
01/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	3-1 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
31/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	8-0 HT 2-0	Udelas FC
02/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-4 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
05/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-2 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	15	12	1	2	44	12	37
2	Udelas FC	15	12	1	2	38	13	37
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	14	7	5	2	26	17	26
4	San Francisco Reserves	15	8	1	6	24	25	25
5	SD Atletico Nacional	14	7	1	6	25	27	22
6	Union Cocle Reserves	14	2	4	8	13	29	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Udelas FC	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Aguilas de la U	1-1 D	2-0 W
SD Atletico Nacional	1-0 W	0-0 D
Union Cocle Reserves	4-1 W	1-1 D
San Francisco Reserves	3-0 W	2-3 L
Veraguas United Reserves	5-1 W	4-2 W
CD Universitario Reserves	1-0 W	1-2 L
La Familia FC	4-1 W	3-2 W
Rayados de Chiriqui	3-1 W	2-0 W
Bocas	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	8 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udelas FC

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
27/10	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
22/10	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	4-1	3	7	W
08/10	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-0	3	3	W
03/10	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	5-1	–	–	W
26/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	11	W
19/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	4-1	11	5	W
12/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-1	4	11	W
30/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

WWLWDWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
28/10	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
21/10	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	6	5	L
17/10	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
26/09	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	7	10	W
18/09	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
29/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-2	4	9	W
22/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udelas FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Udelas FC win (47%). Probabilities: Udelas FC 47%, draw 25%, CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 28%.

How many goals are expected in Udelas FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Udelas FC 1.81 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Udelas FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.