Football · Panama Liga Prom · 30/10, 21:00

Prediction: San Martin FC vs Tauro FC Reserves

Team pages: San Martin FC · Tauro FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

San Martin FC1.23

Tauro FC Reserves1.97

1X2

23% 24% 54%

San Martin FC Draw Tauro FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLLL

Tauro FC Reserves 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWWLWD

Head-to-head

San Martin FC 2–3–1 Tauro FC Reserves (6 last)

Tauro FC Reserves1-0San Martin FC
Tauro FC Reserves0-0San Martin FC
San Martin FC3-1Tauro FC Reserves
San Martin FC2-1Tauro FC Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves2-2San Martin FC
Tauro FC Reserves2-2San Martin FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin FC 1410 · Tauro FC Reserves 1548

	San Martin FC	Draw	Tauro FC Reserves
Our model	23%	24%	53%
Market	23%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tauro FC Reserves (rating 1410 vs 1548).
H2H favours San Martin FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin FC	Tauro FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/13/63%	22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	5.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.80

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:59 +12’	4.00	3.80	1.67
16:53 +5’	3.90▼	3.80	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin FC 2–3–1 Tauro FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	San Martin FC
19/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	San Martin FC
01/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Tauro FC Reserves
19/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Tauro FC Reserves
25/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	2-2 HT 0-0	San Martin FC
10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Tauro FC Reserves	2-2 HT 0-0	San Martin FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	14	9	3	2	32	11	30
2	Tauro FC Reserves	14	7	5	2	28	19	26
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	14	7	3	4	32	21	24
4	Potros Del Este	14	4	3	7	14	17	15
5	Alianza FC Reserves	14	3	3	8	11	29	12
6	San Martin FC	14	2	1	11	17	33	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Martin FC	Tauro FC Reserves
Potros Del Este	0-1 L	3-2 W
Chorrillo	1-3 L	1-2 L
Alianza FC Reserves	0-1 L	1-1 D
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-7 L	3-3 D
Panama City FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	4-2 W	2-0 W
Champions FC Academy	2-2 D	5-1 W
Academia Costa Del Este	2-3 L	3-2 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-1 L	3-2 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 8 L	5 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC Reserves (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin FC

LLLDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
21/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
16/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
02/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-7	3	1	L
27/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
20/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	4-2	1	10	W
13/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-2	5	10	D
06/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	2-3	–	–	L
28/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
22/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-3	6	3	L

Tauro FC Reserves

DWWDDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	2-2	3-2	5	9	W
08/10	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
02/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
24/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-2	2	7	W
19/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	4	3	D
12/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
04/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	9	W
28/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-1	2	5	W
23/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	6	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin FC vs Tauro FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tauro FC Reserves win (54%). Probabilities: San Martin FC 23%, draw 24%, Tauro FC Reserves 54%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin FC vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.2 goals (San Martin FC 1.23 · Tauro FC Reserves 1.97), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin FC vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.