Football · Panama Liga Prom · 29/10, 15:00

Prediction: Champions FC Academy vs UMECIT Reserves

Team pages: Champions FC Academy · UMECIT Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Champions FC Academy1.46

UMECIT Reserves2.28

1X2

23% 22% 55%

Champions FC Academy Draw UMECIT Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Champions FC Academy 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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UMECIT Reserves 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Champions FC Academy 1–5 UMECIT Reserves (6 last)

UMECIT Reserves3-1Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy3-1UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves3-1Champions FC Academy
UMECIT Reserves5-0Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy1-5UMECIT Reserves
Champions FC Academy2-3UMECIT Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Champions FC Academy 1417 · UMECIT Reserves 1437

	Champions FC Academy	Draw	UMECIT Reserves
Our model	23%	21%	55%
Market	23%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UMECIT Reserves: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Champions FC Academy	UMECIT Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 3.2	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	13/50/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:26 +6’	4.00	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Champions FC Academy 1–0–5 UMECIT Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	3-1 HT 2-1	Champions FC Academy
02/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	3-1 HT 1-1	UMECIT Reserves
11/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	3-1 HT 2-0	Champions FC Academy
19/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	5-0 HT 3-0	Champions FC Academy
26/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	1-5 HT 0-1	UMECIT Reserves
10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	2-3 HT 1-3	UMECIT Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	14	9	4	1	22	9	31
2	Academia Costa Del Este	14	9	1	4	28	21	28
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	14	7	2	5	23	24	23
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	14	5	4	5	24	14	19
5	UMECIT Reserves	14	2	4	8	14	28	10
6	Champions FC Academy	14	2	3	9	22	41	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Champions FC Academy	UMECIT Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3-5 L	0-2 L
Panama City FC	3-5 L	1-0 W
Academia Costa Del Este	0-2 L	1-3 L
Potros Del Este	1-1 D	1-1 D
Alianza FC Reserves	3-1 W	0-0 D
Chorrillo	0-3 L	0-3 L
San Martin FC	2-2 D	2-4 L
Plaza Amador Reserves	1-6 L	4-6 L
Tauro FC Reserves	1-5 L	0-2 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 6 L	1 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: UMECIT Reserves (3 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Champions FC Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-3	3-5	1	5	L
22/10	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-2	3-5	6	3	L
09/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
01/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	9	8	D
25/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	10	6	W
18/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
13/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	5	10	D
04/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-6	4	3	L
28/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-5	4	5	L
21/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	3	6	D

UMECIT Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/10	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-3	9	6	L
17/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
02/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
20/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-3	2-4	2	10	L
12/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	4-6	13	6	L
04/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	9	L
30/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Champions FC Academy vs UMECIT Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UMECIT Reserves win (55%). Probabilities: Champions FC Academy 23%, draw 22%, UMECIT Reserves 55%.

How many goals are expected in Champions FC Academy vs UMECIT Reserves?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Champions FC Academy 1.46 · UMECIT Reserves 2.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Champions FC Academy vs UMECIT Reserves?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.