Football · Panama Liga Prom · 29/10, 15:00

Prediction: Academia Costa Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Team pages: Academia Costa Del Este · CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Academia Costa Del Este1.64

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.35

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Academia Costa Del Este Draw CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Costa Del Este 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWL

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLWLWD

Head-to-head

Academia Costa Del Este 3–3–0 CD Arabe Unido Reserves (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este0-0CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Academia Costa Del Este
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este1-1CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Academia Costa Del Este2-2CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Costa Del Este 1547 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1500

	Academia Costa Del Este	Draw	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1547 vs 1500).
H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Costa Del Este	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:02 +3’	2.05	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Costa Del Este 3–3–0 CD Arabe Unido Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 HT 0-0	Academia Costa Del Este
03/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
12/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 HT 1-0	Academia Costa Del Este
01/11/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 HT 0-1	Academia Costa Del Este
09/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
03/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-2 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	14	9	4	1	22	9	31
2	Academia Costa Del Este	14	9	1	4	28	21	28
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	14	7	2	5	23	24	23
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	14	5	4	5	24	14	19
5	UMECIT Reserves	14	2	4	8	14	28	10
6	Champions FC Academy	14	2	3	9	22	41	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Costa Del Este	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama City FC	0-3 L	0-1 L
UMECIT Reserves	3-1 W	0-0 D
Champions FC Academy	2-0 W	2-2 D
Tauro FC Reserves	2-3 L	3-3 D
Potros Del Este	3-2 W	1-0 W
Alianza FC Reserves	2-0 W	2-1 W
Chorrillo	2-3 L	0-0 D
San Martin FC	3-2 W	7-0 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	3-0 W	0-1 L
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-3 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Costa Del Este

LWWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	0-3	–	–	L
21/10	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
09/10	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
25/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
18/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	5	10	L
06/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
28/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	5	4	L

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

DDWWDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-2	5-2	0	4	W
17/10	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
02/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	7-0	5	1	W
27/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
11/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Costa Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Costa Del Este win (43%). Probabilities: Academia Costa Del Este 43%, draw 26%, CD Arabe Unido Reserves 31%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Costa Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?

The model expects 3 goals (Academia Costa Del Este 1.64 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Costa Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.