Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 03/11, 17:00

Prediction: FK Jezero vs FK Decic Tuzi

Team pages: FK Jezero · FK Decic Tuzi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

FK Jezero1.09

FK Decic Tuzi1.31

1X2

30% 29% 41%

FK Jezero Draw FK Decic Tuzi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jezero 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLDDLD

FK Decic Tuzi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLDLLW

Head-to-head

FK Jezero 1–1–4 FK Decic Tuzi (6 last)

FK Decic Tuzi2-1FK Jezero
FK Decic Tuzi3-0FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-2FK Decic Tuzi
FK Decic Tuzi1-0FK Jezero
FK Jezero4-0FK Decic Tuzi
FK Jezero1-1FK Decic Tuzi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jezero 1464 · FK Decic Tuzi 1516

	FK Jezero	Draw	FK Decic Tuzi
Our model	30%	30%	40%
Market	30%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Decic Tuzi (rating 1464 vs 1516).
H2H favours FK Decic Tuzi: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jezero	FK Decic Tuzi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 3.2	3.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.23 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.36

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +21’	3.00	3.10	2.20
06:57 +5’	3.10▲	3.10	2.20
10:59 +2’	3.00▼	3.10	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +6’	3.18	2.92	2.34
16:01	3.23▲	2.96▲	2.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jezero 1–1–4 FK Decic Tuzi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Jezero
10/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Jezero
11/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Decic Tuzi
09/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Jezero
13/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	4-0 HT 2-0	FK Decic Tuzi
10/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Decic Tuzi

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19	12	25
2	Sutjeska Niksic	14	6	5	3	19	10	23
3	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	13	6	3	4	21	17	21
4	FK Mornar Bar	14	5	6	3	20	15	21
5	FK Bokelj	13	5	4	4	10	10	19
6	FK Decic Tuzi	12	5	3	4	12	10	18
7	OFK Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12	13	15
8	FK Jezero	13	2	6	5	15	22	12
9	OFK Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11	23	12
10	FK Arsenal	12	1	6	5	9	16	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jezero	FK Decic Tuzi
Sutjeska Niksic	2-2 D	0-2 L
OFK Petrovac	1-2 L	1-1 D
OFK Mladost DG	0-0 D	0-2 L
FK Mornar Bar	3-3 D	1-1 D
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-4 L	2-0 W
FK Bokelj	1-1 D	0-2 L
Buducnost Podgorica	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jezero

DLWLDLDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
23/10	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
18/10	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
08/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	3-3	7	7	D
20/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-4	3	5	L
15/09	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
05/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	5-2	4	4	W
30/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
22/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

FK Decic Tuzi

WWWLDLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
23/10	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
18/10	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
20/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
13/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
09/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
30/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
23/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jezero vs FK Decic Tuzi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Decic Tuzi win (41%). Probabilities: FK Jezero 30%, draw 29%, FK Decic Tuzi 41%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jezero vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model expects 2.4 goals (FK Jezero 1.09 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.31), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jezero vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.