Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 07/11, 14:00
Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Team pages: Buducnost Podgorica · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Buducnost Podgorica1.49
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1.23
1X2
Buducnost Podgorica
Draw
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Buducnost Podgorica
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Buducnost Podgorica
3–1–1
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
(5 last)
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj2-0Buducnost Podgorica
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj0-1Buducnost Podgorica
- Buducnost Podgorica5-1Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj0-3Buducnost Podgorica
- Buducnost Podgorica1-1Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buducnost Podgorica 1567 · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1523
| Buducnost Podgorica | Draw | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buducnost Podgorica (rating 1567 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Buducnost Podgorica: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Buducnost Podgorica | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Buducnost Podgorica 3–1–1 Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 10/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 12/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Buducnost Podgorica | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
| 02/11/24 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 31/08/24 Montenegro Prva Liga | Buducnost Podgorica | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 25 |
| 3 | FK Mornar Bar | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sutjeska Niksic | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | FK Bokelj | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | FK Decic Tuzi | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | FK Jezero | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | OFK Petrovac | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| 9 | OFK Mladost DG | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Buducnost Podgorica | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
|---|---|---|
| FK Bokelj | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Mornar Bar | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Arsenal | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Decic Tuzi | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sutjeska Niksic | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| OFK Petrovac | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| OFK Mladost DG | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FK Jezero | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Buducnost Podgorica (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buducnost Podgorica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/10 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/10 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/09 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/10 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/10 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Buducnost Podgorica win (42%). Probabilities: Buducnost Podgorica 42%, draw 28%, Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 30%.
How many goals are expected in Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Buducnost Podgorica 1.49 · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1.23), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.