Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 13/11, 16:00

Prediction: FK Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica

Team pages: FK Jezero · Buducnost Podgorica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

FK Jezero1.29

Buducnost Podgorica1.37

1X2

34% 28% 38%

FK Jezero Draw Buducnost Podgorica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jezero 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLDDLDWW

Buducnost Podgorica 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWDWWL

Head-to-head

FK Jezero 2–1–3 Buducnost Podgorica (6 last)

Buducnost Podgorica3-0FK Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica2-0FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-0Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica1-1FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-2Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica2-3FK Jezero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jezero 1519 · Buducnost Podgorica 1545

	FK Jezero	Draw	Buducnost Podgorica
Our model	34%	28%	38%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Buducnost Podgorica: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jezero	Buducnost Podgorica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.4	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.73
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.27
2	2.20 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.51 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +40’	2.88	3.20	2.20
01:34 +27’	2.55▼	3.20	2.45▲
08:38 +24’	2.60▲	3.20	2.38▼
11:52 +9’	2.63▲	3.20	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +3’	2.67	3.23	2.49
12:00 +1’	2.67	3.23	2.50▲
14:02	2.70▲	3.28▲	2.53▲
14:51 +9’	2.73▲	3.27▼	2.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jezero 2–1–3 Buducnost Podgorica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Jezero
08/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Jezero
10/12/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
01/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Jezero
04/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-2 HT 1-0	Buducnost Podgorica
14/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-3 HT 1-2	FK Jezero

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	15	8	3	4	28	19	27
2	Buducnost Podgorica	15	7	4	4	20	16	25
3	FK Mornar Bar	15	6	6	3	21	15	24
4	Sutjeska Niksic	15	6	5	4	19	13	23
5	FK Decic Tuzi	14	6	3	5	14	11	21
6	FK Bokelj	14	5	4	5	10	11	19
7	OFK Petrovac	14	4	6	4	15	13	18
8	FK Jezero	15	4	6	5	17	22	18
9	OFK Mladost DG	15	3	3	9	11	25	12
10	FK Arsenal	14	1	6	7	10	20	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jezero	Buducnost Podgorica
FK Arsenal	1-0 W	3-3 D
FK Decic Tuzi	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sutjeska Niksic	2-2 D	0-0 D
OFK Petrovac	1-2 L	4-1 W
OFK Mladost DG	0-0 D	2-0 W
FK Mornar Bar	3-3 D	3-2 W
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-4 L	1-4 L
FK Bokelj	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Buducnost Podgorica (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jezero

WLDLDDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
03/11	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
23/10	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
18/10	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
08/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	3-3	7	7	D
20/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-4	3	5	L
15/09	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
05/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	5-2	4	4	W

Buducnost Podgorica

LWWWDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
02/11	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
27/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-2	4	0	W
22/10	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	3-3	0	3	D
18/10	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/10	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
18/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	4-1	5	5	W
14/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
10/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Buducnost Podgorica win (38%). Probabilities: FK Jezero 34%, draw 28%, Buducnost Podgorica 38%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model expects 2.66 goals (FK Jezero 1.29 · Buducnost Podgorica 1.37), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.