Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Sutjeska Niksic vs OFK Petrovac

Team pages: Sutjeska Niksic · OFK Petrovac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Sutjeska Niksic1.29

OFK Petrovac0.81

1X2

47% 29% 23%

Sutjeska Niksic Draw OFK Petrovac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sutjeska Niksic 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDDW

OFK Petrovac 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLLLWWD

Head-to-head

Sutjeska Niksic 3–2–1 OFK Petrovac (6 last)

OFK Petrovac0-0Sutjeska Niksic
OFK Petrovac0-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic2-1OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac0-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic1-1OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac1-0Sutjeska Niksic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutjeska Niksic 1590 · OFK Petrovac 1475

	Sutjeska Niksic	Draw	OFK Petrovac
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutjeska Niksic (rating 1590 vs 1475).
H2H favours Sutjeska Niksic: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutjeska Niksic	OFK Petrovac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.4	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.20

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.68 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +19’	1.85	3.20	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +27’	1.83	3.21	4.37
12:04 +7’	1.85▲	3.26▲	4.46▲
14:00	1.83▼	3.11▼	4.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutjeska Niksic 3–2–1 OFK Petrovac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-0 HT 0-0	Sutjeska Niksic
18/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-1 HT 0-1	Sutjeska Niksic
25/02/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	2-1 HT 0-0	OFK Petrovac
18/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-1 HT 0-0	Sutjeska Niksic
17/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	1-1 HT 1-1	OFK Petrovac
20/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	1-0 HT 0-0	Sutjeska Niksic

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	15	8	3	4	28	19	27
2	Buducnost Podgorica	15	7	4	4	20	16	25
3	FK Mornar Bar	15	6	6	3	21	15	24
4	Sutjeska Niksic	14	6	5	3	19	10	23
5	FK Bokelj	14	5	4	5	10	11	19
6	FK Decic Tuzi	13	5	3	5	12	11	18
7	FK Jezero	15	4	6	5	17	22	18
8	OFK Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12	13	15
9	OFK Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11	23	12
10	FK Arsenal	14	1	6	7	10	20	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutjeska Niksic	OFK Petrovac
OFK Mladost DG	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Jezero	2-2 D	2-1 W
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-1 D	2-3 L
Buducnost Podgorica	0-0 D	1-4 L
FK Arsenal	2-0 W	1-2 L
FK Decic Tuzi	2-0 W	1-1 D
FK Mornar Bar	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sutjeska Niksic (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutjeska Niksic

WDWWWDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
29/10	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
24/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/10	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	4-0	0	4	W
10/10	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
19/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
13/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
08/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
04/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
28/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	2-0	5-1	7	3	W

OFK Petrovac

DDDDLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
28/10	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
23/10	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
19/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
18/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-4	5	5	L
14/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
09/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
04/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
29/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
22/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutjeska Niksic vs OFK Petrovac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutjeska Niksic win (47%). Probabilities: Sutjeska Niksic 47%, draw 29%, OFK Petrovac 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sutjeska Niksic vs OFK Petrovac?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Sutjeska Niksic 1.29 · OFK Petrovac 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutjeska Niksic vs OFK Petrovac?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.