Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: FK Decic Tuzi vs OFK Mladost DG

Team pages: FK Decic Tuzi · OFK Mladost DG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

FK Decic Tuzi1.74

OFK Mladost DG0.95

1X2

55% 25% 20%

FK Decic Tuzi Draw OFK Mladost DG

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Decic Tuzi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLDLLWL

OFK Mladost DG 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDDLLL

Head-to-head

FK Decic Tuzi 3–3 OFK Mladost DG (6 last)

OFK Mladost DG2-0FK Decic Tuzi
OFK Mladost DG2-1FK Decic Tuzi
FK Decic Tuzi3-4OFK Mladost DG
OFK Mladost DG1-2FK Decic Tuzi
FK Decic Tuzi3-2OFK Mladost DG
FK Decic Tuzi2-0OFK Mladost DG

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Decic Tuzi 1462 · OFK Mladost DG 1470

	FK Decic Tuzi	Draw	OFK Mladost DG
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	56%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Decic Tuzi	OFK Mladost DG
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.66
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.77 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +3’	1.61	3.60	4.50
22:47 +10’	1.60▼	3.60	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:33 +3’	1.67	3.52	4.96
22:09 +48’	1.58▼	3.67▲	5.51▲
13:56 +36’	1.59▲	3.60▼	5.62▲
15:42 +30’	1.60▲	3.66▲	5.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Decic Tuzi 3–0–3 OFK Mladost DG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Decic Tuzi
08/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Decic Tuzi
10/12/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	3-4 HT 0-2	OFK Mladost DG
01/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Decic Tuzi
04/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	3-2 HT 2-0	OFK Mladost DG
21/04/24 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	2-0 HT 0-0	OFK Mladost DG

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	15	8	3	4	28	19	27
2	Buducnost Podgorica	15	7	4	4	20	16	25
3	FK Mornar Bar	15	6	6	3	21	15	24
4	Sutjeska Niksic	14	6	5	3	19	10	23
5	FK Bokelj	14	5	4	5	10	11	19
6	FK Decic Tuzi	13	5	3	5	12	11	18
7	FK Jezero	15	4	6	5	17	22	18
8	OFK Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12	13	15
9	OFK Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11	23	12
10	FK Arsenal	14	1	6	7	10	20	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Decic Tuzi	OFK Mladost DG
FK Jezero	0-1 L	0-0 D
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	2-0 W	2-2 D
FK Bokelj	0-2 L	0-3 L
Buducnost Podgorica	0-1 L	0-2 L
FK Mornar Bar	1-1 D	1-4 L
Sutjeska Niksic	0-2 L	0-1 L
OFK Petrovac	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Decic Tuzi (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Decic Tuzi

WWLDLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
29/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
23/10	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
18/10	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
20/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
13/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
09/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
30/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
23/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W

OFK Mladost DG

LWWLLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
28/10	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
22/10	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-4	9	3	L
18/10	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
08/10	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
20/09	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	0-3	8	2	L
14/09	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
10/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
28/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-5	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Decic Tuzi vs OFK Mladost DG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Decic Tuzi win (55%). Probabilities: FK Decic Tuzi 55%, draw 25%, OFK Mladost DG 20%.

How many goals are expected in FK Decic Tuzi vs OFK Mladost DG?

The model expects 2.69 goals (FK Decic Tuzi 1.74 · OFK Mladost DG 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Decic Tuzi vs OFK Mladost DG?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.