Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 29/10, 20:15

Prediction: Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Team pages: Hapoel Tirat Karmel · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Hapoel Tirat Karmel1.12

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik2.14

1X2

18% 22% 60%

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Draw Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLLLL

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0–1 Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (1 last)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel1-3Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1401 · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1484

	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	Draw	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Our model	18%	22%	60%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (rating 1401 vs 1484).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.2 / 1.4	1.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.00

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:01 +5’	5.00	4.00	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0–0–1 Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/11/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	1-3 HT 1-1	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	8	6	2	0	15	5	20
2	Ironi Nesher	7	5	1	1	20	6	16
3	Beitar Nahariya	8	5	1	2	14	8	16
4	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	8	4	3	1	15	11	15
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	3	5	0	13	7	14
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	3	3	1	12	7	12
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
8	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
9	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	8	3	1	4	16	16	10
10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	8	2	3	3	12	14	9
11	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	7	2	2	3	11	11	8
12	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	8	2	2	4	12	13	8
13	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	2	1	5	10	14	7
14	FC Tzeirey Tamra	7	2	0	5	8	18	6
15	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
16	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	1	2	5	5	20	5
17	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	7	1	0	6	5	16	3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

LDLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-2	0	5	L
19/10	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
12/10	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-3	0-4	2	5	L
08/10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
23/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
18/09	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	4-1	3	2	W
09/09	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
19/02	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
13/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
06/02	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-2	1	5	L

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

WDDWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
16/10	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-4	8	5	L
09/10	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
30/09	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
24/09	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	3-0	5-3	4	4	W
19/09	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	4-0	4	2	W
09/09	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	3-1	4	2	W
05/09	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	2-2	7	7	D
26/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
21/02	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	5-3	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik win (60%). Probabilities: Hapoel Tirat Karmel 18%, draw 22%, Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 60%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1.12 · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 2.14), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.