Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 06/11, 10:00

Prediction: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Team pages: Hapoel Bnei Musmus · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.27

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1.45

1X2

32% 27% 41%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Draw Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWDLLL

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2–1–1 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad (4 last)

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1-1Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad0-1Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad0-4Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad3-0Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1448 · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1528

	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Draw	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad (rating 1448 vs 1528).
H2H favours Hapoel Bnei Musmus: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.7	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:02 +2’	2.75	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2–1–1 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1-1 HT 1-0	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
29/03/24 Israel Liga Bet North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
20/02/24 Israel Liga Bet North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	0-4 HT 0-1	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06/12/19 Israel Liga Bet North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3-0 HT 3-0	Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	9	6	3	0	15	5	21
2	Ironi Nesher	8	6	1	1	25	6	19
3	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	9	5	3	1	19	12	18
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	9	4	5	0	15	8	17
5	Beitar Nahariya	9	5	1	3	14	10	16
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	8	4	3	1	15	7	15
7	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	8	4	2	2	14	13	14
8	Hapoel Beit Shean	8	3	3	2	11	6	12
9	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	8	3	2	3	14	11	11
10	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	9	3	1	5	16	17	10
11	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	9	2	3	4	12	17	9
12	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	8	2	2	4	12	13	8
13	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	9	2	1	6	10	17	7
14	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	8	2	0	6	6	16	6
15	FC Tzeirey Tamra	8	2	0	6	9	20	6
16	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	1	2	5	7	16	5
17	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	9	1	2	6	5	25	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Hapoel Bnei Jat United	2-4 L	3-0 W
Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1-2 L	5-1 W
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	0-0 D	1-2 L
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1-0 W	2-1 W
Sport Club Tira	1-1 D	2-3 L
Beitar Nahariya	1-2 L	0-3 L
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	0-3 L	1-1 D
Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

WDLLDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-3	1-4	2	5	L
23/10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	0-4	2-4	4	6	L
19/10	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-2	8	11	L
09/10	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
30/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
23/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
18/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
10/09	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
06/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
21/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-0	4	7	W

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

WDDDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	3-0	3-0	3	3	W
23/10	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	5-1	2	4	W
19/10	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
09/10	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
30/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
23/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
19/09	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
10/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
05/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
27/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 32%, draw 27%, Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 41%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1.27 · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.