Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 05/11, 14:00
Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Beit Shean
Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik · Hapoel Beit Shean
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik1.53
Hapoel Beit Shean1.28
1X2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Draw
Hapoel Beit Shean
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Beit Shean
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
3–2–1
Hapoel Beit Shean
(6 last)
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik2-2Hapoel Beit Shean
- Hapoel Beit Shean1-2Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik2-2Hapoel Beit Shean
- Hapoel Beit Shean0-3Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Hapoel Beit Shean0-4Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik0-1Hapoel Beit Shean
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1463 · Hapoel Beit Shean 1523
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Draw | Hapoel Beit Shean | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Beit Shean (rating 1463 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Hapoel Beit Shean | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 38/63/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.7 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 3–2–1 Hapoel Beit Shean
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Beit Shean |
| 21/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Beit Shean | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 06/02/25 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Beit Shean |
| 13/09/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Beit Shean | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 05/03/18 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Beit Shean | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 23/10/17 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Beit Shean |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Tira | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Ironi Nesher | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Beitar Nahariya | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
| 14 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Hapoel Beit Shean |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/10 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North |
3-0 | 5-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/09 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Hapoel Beit Shean
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/10 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/10 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/09 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/02 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik win (42%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 42%, draw 27%, Hapoel Beit Shean 31%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1.53 · Hapoel Beit Shean 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.