Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 06/11, 12:00

Prediction: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Team pages: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed1.51

Hapoel Tirat Karmel1.16

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Draw Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDWLL

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–1–0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel (2 last)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel1-3Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Hapoel Tirat Karmel1-1Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1440 · Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1424

	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	Draw	Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Our model	44%	28%	28%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	0.2 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +10’	2.00	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–1–0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	1-3 HT 1-1	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
11/10/19 Israel Liga Bet North	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	1-1 HT 1-0	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	9	6	3	0	15	5	21
2	Ironi Nesher	8	6	1	1	25	6	19
3	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	9	5	3	1	19	12	18
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	9	4	5	0	15	8	17
5	Beitar Nahariya	9	5	1	3	14	10	16
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	8	4	3	1	15	7	15
7	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	8	4	2	2	14	13	14
8	Hapoel Beit Shean	8	3	3	2	11	6	12
9	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	8	3	2	3	14	11	11
10	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	9	3	1	5	16	17	10
11	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	9	2	3	4	12	17	9
12	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	8	2	2	4	12	13	8
13	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	9	2	1	6	10	17	7
14	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	8	2	0	6	6	16	6
15	FC Tzeirey Tamra	8	2	0	6	9	20	6
16	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	1	2	5	7	16	5
17	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	9	1	2	6	5	25	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1-3 L	1-0 W
Sport Club Tira	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

LLLLWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
23/10	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	–	1-2	1	0	L
19/10	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	8	3	W
09/10	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
01/10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
24/09	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	4-1	9	6	W
18/09	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	2-4	4	7	L
09/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	2	L
04/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
20/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-2	6	7	L

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

DLLWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
22/10	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-2	0	5	L
19/10	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
12/10	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-3	0-4	2	5	L
08/10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
23/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
18/09	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	4-1	3	2	W
09/09	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
19/02	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
13/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win (44%). Probabilities: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 44%, draw 27%, Hapoel Tirat Karmel 29%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1.51 · Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.