Football · Panama LPF · 31/10, 02:30

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido vs Tauro FC

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido · Tauro FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

CD Arabe Unido1.31

Tauro FC1.16

1X2

39% 30% 32%

CD Arabe Unido Draw Tauro FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWDLD

Tauro FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLWL

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido 3–1–2 Tauro FC (6 last)

Tauro FC0-1CD Arabe Unido
Tauro FC4-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido1-0Tauro FC
CD Arabe Unido4-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1CD Arabe Unido
Tauro FC2-1CD Arabe Unido

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido 1558 · Tauro FC 1501

	CD Arabe Unido	Draw	Tauro FC
Our model	39%	30%	32%
Market	39%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido (rating 1558 vs 1501).
H2H favours CD Arabe Unido: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 14.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido	Tauro FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.5	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.5	7.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.10

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.65 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.10 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:25 +4’	2.20	3.10	3.10
03:54 +14’	2.35▲	3.10	2.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:43 +28’	2.43	3.02	2.92
08:00 +7’	2.42▼	3.04▲	2.92
23:00 +20’	2.45▲	2.96▼	2.95▲
00:32 +1’	2.48▲	3.00▲	2.99▲
02:17 +3’	2.65▲	3.06▲	2.72▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido 3–1–2 Tauro FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/08/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido
11/04/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	4-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
08/02/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC
09/11/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	4-1 HT 2-1	Tauro FC
16/08/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
04/05/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	2-1 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	13	9	3	1	29	16	30
2	CD Arabe Unido	13	6	5	2	17	11	23
3	UMECIT	13	5	5	3	13	11	20
4	Tauro FC	13	5	2	6	18	14	17
5	Sporting San Miguelito	13	4	4	5	15	16	16
6	Alianza FC Panama	13	3	5	5	13	15	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido	Tauro FC
Plaza Amador	0-2 L	0-1 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	1-1 D	2-1 W
Herrera FC	2-1 W	6-0 W
San Francisco FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Union Cocle	4-1 W	2-0 W
Veraguas CD	3-1 W	1-2 L
CD Universitario	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido

WWDWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
18/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
05/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
26/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
19/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
12/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
05/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	7	7	W
30/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
22/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
18/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	4	8	W

Tauro FC

LLWWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
20/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
04/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	3	13	L
27/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	9	4	L
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
18/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido vs Tauro FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido win (39%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido 39%, draw 30%, Tauro FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido vs Tauro FC?

The model expects 2.46 goals (CD Arabe Unido 1.31 · Tauro FC 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido vs Tauro FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.