Football · Panama LPF · 07/11, 22:00

Prediction: Herrera FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Team pages: Herrera FC · CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Herrera FC1.37

CA Independiente de la Chorrera1.83

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Herrera FC Draw CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Herrera FC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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CA Independiente de la Chorrera 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herrera FC 0–2–4 CA Independiente de la Chorrera (6 last)

CA Independiente de la Chorrera0-0Herrera FC
CA Independiente de la Chorrera2-2Herrera FC
Herrera FC0-4CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Herrera FC0-2CA Independiente de la Chorrera
CA Independiente de la Chorrera3-0Herrera FC
CA Independiente de la Chorrera3-2Herrera FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera (rating 1416 vs 1540).
H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrera FC	CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.8	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	2.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.7	6.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.49 → 4.42▼	Pinn 4.42
X	3.75 → 3.76▲	Pinn 3.76
2	1.68 → 1.68▲	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:21 +4’	4.49	3.75	1.68
01:17 +6’	4.42▼	3.68▼	1.70▲
15:26 +7’	4.42	3.76▲	1.68▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC 0–2–4 CA Independiente de la Chorrera

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/08/26 Panama LPF	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	0-0 HT 0-0	Herrera FC
21/04/26 Panama LPF	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-2 HT 1-0	Herrera FC
17/01/26 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	0-4 HT 0-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera
18/10/25 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	0-2 HT 0-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera
27/07/25 Panama LPF	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	3-0 HT 1-0	Herrera FC
03/05/25 Panama LPF	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	3-2 HT 2-0	Herrera FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	14	8	2	4	27	18	26
2	Veraguas CD	14	6	6	2	25	20	24
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	14	5	5	4	22	19	20
4	CD Universitario	14	3	5	6	12	14	14
5	Herrera FC	14	3	2	9	15	33	11
6	Union Cocle	14	1	2	11	10	29	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrera FC	CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Veraguas CD	2-4 L	3-1 W
San Francisco FC	1-3 L	3-1 W
Union Cocle	3-2 W	3-0 W
Alianza FC Panama	1-0 W	0-2 L
CD Arabe Unido	1-2 L	1-1 D
Tauro FC	0-6 L	1-2 L
UMECIT	1-3 L	0-2 L
Plaza Amador	1-4 L	2-2 D
Sporting San Miguelito	1-3 L	4-3 W
CD Universitario	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 8 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA Independiente de la Chorrera (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrera FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-2	2-4	3	7	L
25/10	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
18/10	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-2	3-2	3	2	W
04/10	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
26/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	1	6	L
20/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-2	0-6	9	7	L
13/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-3	1-3	4	5	L
06/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
31/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	4	7	L
23/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	4	7	L

CA Independiente de la Chorrera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-0	3-1	6	6	W
25/10	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
18/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	3-0	3-1	3	10	W
05/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
29/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-2	10	6	L
21/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	2-0	4-3	4	4	W
13/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
08/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
29/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	6	10	L
23/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	3-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrera FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Independiente de la Chorrera win (47%). Probabilities: Herrera FC 28%, draw 25%, CA Independiente de la Chorrera 47%.

How many goals are expected in Herrera FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Herrera FC 1.37 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera 1.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrera FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.