Football · Panama LPF · 07/11, 22:00

Prediction: CD Universitario vs Veraguas CD

Team pages: CD Universitario · Veraguas CD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

CD Universitario1.31

Veraguas CD1.11

1X2

41% 28% 31%

CD Universitario Draw Veraguas CD

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Universitario 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWLLLW

Veraguas CD 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDWLWW

Head-to-head

CD Universitario 1–2–3 Veraguas CD (6 last)

Veraguas CD2-1CD Universitario
CD Universitario0-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD1-2CD Universitario
Veraguas CD2-1CD Universitario
CD Universitario1-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD2-2CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario 1485 · Veraguas CD 1525

	CD Universitario	Draw	Veraguas CD
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veraguas CD (rating 1485 vs 1525).
H2H favours Veraguas CD: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Universitario	Veraguas CD
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.2	2.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	6.2 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.25

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.24
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.29
2	2.55 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.98 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:21 +10’	2.38	3.25	2.55
07:36 +39’	2.15▼	3.25	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +11’	2.21	3.22	2.92
03:06 +17’	2.24▲	3.29▲	2.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario 1–2–3 Veraguas CD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	2-1 HT 0-1	CD Universitario
19/04/26 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-1 HT 0-0	Veraguas CD
17/01/26 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	1-2 HT 1-1	CD Universitario
31/10/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	2-1 HT 1-1	CD Universitario
03/08/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-1 HT 0-1	Veraguas CD
03/05/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	2-2 HT 0-0	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	14	8	2	4	27	18	26
2	Veraguas CD	14	6	6	2	25	20	24
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	14	5	5	4	22	19	20
4	CD Universitario	14	3	5	6	12	14	14
5	Herrera FC	14	3	2	9	15	33	11
6	Union Cocle	14	1	2	11	10	29	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Universitario	Veraguas CD
Union Cocle	2-0 W	3-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	0-1 L	1-3 L
San Francisco FC	0-1 L	3-3 D
Plaza Amador	1-2 L	1-1 D
UMECIT	2-1 W	1-1 D
Alianza FC Panama	0-0 D	2-1 W
Tauro FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sporting San Miguelito	1-1 D	1-1 D
CD Arabe Unido	0-0 D	1-3 L
Herrera FC	1-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Veraguas CD (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario

WDDLDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	10	7	L
17/10	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
04/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
27/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
20/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
13/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	10	8	L
06/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
30/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W

Veraguas CD

DDLWDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-2	4-2	7	7	W
27/10	Union Cocle Panama LPF	3-0	3-0	2	4	W
18/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-3	1-3	5	10	L
04/10	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-0	2-1	7	13	W
28/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
14/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
01/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
23/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	3-3	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario vs Veraguas CD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Universitario win (41%). Probabilities: CD Universitario 41%, draw 28%, Veraguas CD 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario vs Veraguas CD?

The model expects 2.41 goals (CD Universitario 1.31 · Veraguas CD 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario vs Veraguas CD?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.