Football · Panama LPF · 07/11, 02:30

Prediction: UMECIT vs Tauro FC

Team pages: UMECIT · Tauro FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

UMECIT1.31

Tauro FC1.31

1X2

36% 29% 36%

UMECIT Draw Tauro FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWWDD

Tauro FC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

UMECIT 2–2–2 Tauro FC (6 last)

Tauro FC1-1UMECIT
UMECIT5-2Tauro FC
Tauro FC3-1UMECIT
UMECIT3-2Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1UMECIT
Tauro FC4-2UMECIT

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT 1543 · Tauro FC 1532

	UMECIT	Draw	Tauro FC
Our model	36%	29%	36%
Market	35%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT	Tauro FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	7.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +8’	2.55	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT 2–2–2 Tauro FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 0-1	UMECIT
03/05/26 Panama LPF	UMECIT	5-2 HT 2-2	Tauro FC
11/02/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	3-1 HT 1-1	UMECIT
28/10/25 Panama LPF	UMECIT	3-2 HT 1-2	Tauro FC
10/08/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 0-1	UMECIT
24/03/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	4-2 HT 3-2	UMECIT

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	14	10	3	1	35	16	33
2	CD Arabe Unido	14	6	5	3	18	14	23
3	UMECIT	14	5	6	3	13	11	21
4	Tauro FC	14	6	2	6	21	15	20
5	Sporting San Miguelito	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
6	Alianza FC Panama	14	3	5	6	13	21	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT	Tauro FC
Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 D	2-0 W
CD Arabe Unido	1-1 D	3-1 W
Alianza FC Panama	2-1 W	0-2 L
San Francisco FC	1-0 W	1-3 L
CD Universitario	1-2 L	1-0 W
Union Cocle	1-0 W	2-0 W
Herrera FC	3-1 W	6-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-0 W	2-1 W
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	1-2 L
Plaza Amador	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT

LDWWWLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
24/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
19/10	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
03/10	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
27/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
22/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	3-1	3-1	2	5	W
08/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
01/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
24/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	1	2	L

Tauro FC

LWWWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
25/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
20/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
04/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	3	13	L
27/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	9	4	L
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT vs Tauro FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UMECIT win (36%). Probabilities: UMECIT 36%, draw 29%, Tauro FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT vs Tauro FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (UMECIT 1.31 · Tauro FC 1.31), with a 59% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT vs Tauro FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.