Football · Panama LPF · 07/11, 22:00

Prediction: San Francisco FC vs Union Cocle

Team pages: San Francisco FC · Union Cocle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
San Francisco FC2.09
Union Cocle0.89
1X2
64% 22% 14%
San Francisco FC Draw Union Cocle
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
San Francisco FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWLWWL
Union Cocle 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
San Francisco FC 0–1–2 Union Cocle (3 last)
  • Union Cocle2-1San Francisco FC
  • Union Cocle1-0San Francisco FC
  • San Francisco FC1-1Union Cocle
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Francisco FC 1518 · Union Cocle 1399
San Francisco FCDrawUnion Cocle
Our model64%22%14%
Market64%22%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Francisco FC (rating 1518 vs 1399).
  • H2H favours Union Cocle: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Francisco FCUnion Cocle
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.30.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.81.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.25.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Francisco FC 0–1–2 Union Cocle

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/08/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle2-1
HT 2-1
San Francisco FC
19/04/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle1-0
HT 1-0
San Francisco FC
18/01/26
Panama LPF
San Francisco FC1-1
HT 0-0
Union Cocle

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco FC 14824 271826
2 Veraguas CD 14662 252024
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera 14554 221920
4 CD Universitario 14356 121414
5 Herrera FC 14329 153311
6 Union Cocle 141211 10295

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Francisco FCUnion Cocle
CA Independiente de la Chorrera 1-3 L 0-3 L
Herrera FC 3-1 W 2-3 L
CD Universitario 1-0 W 0-2 L
UMECIT 0-1 L 0-1 L
Tauro FC 3-1 W 0-2 L
CD Arabe Unido 1-2 L 1-4 L
Sporting San Miguelito 2-0 W 1-3 L
Alianza FC Panama 1-1 D 2-2 D
Plaza Amador 4-1 W 1-2 L
Veraguas CD 3-3 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 9 L

Better against common opponents: San Francisco FC (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Francisco FC

DWDWLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-1 1-3 26 L
25/10 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
1-1 3-1 23 W
17/10 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
1-0 1-0 56 W
03/10 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-1 0-1 76 L
27/09 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
2-1 3-1 24 W
19/09 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
1-1 1-2 37 L
15/09 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
1-0 2-0 51 W
07/09 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 35 D
30/08 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
2-1 4-1 42 W
23/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
2-1 3-3 53 D

Union Cocle

LDLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-1 0-2 104 L
27/10 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-3 0-3 24 L
18/10 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
2-1 2-3 52 L
06/10 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
1-3 1-3 26 L
27/09 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
0-1 1-2 04 L
22/09 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 46 L
12/09 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-1 1-4 24 L
06/09 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-1 0-2 412 L
30/08 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-0 2-2 56 D
23/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-1 0-3 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Francisco FC vs Union Cocle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Francisco FC win (64%). Probabilities: San Francisco FC 64%, draw 22%, Union Cocle 14%.

How many goals are expected in San Francisco FC vs Union Cocle?

The model expects 2.99 goals (San Francisco FC 2.09 · Union Cocle 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Francisco FC vs Union Cocle?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.