Football · Panama LPF · 01/11, 00:15

Prediction: Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC Panama

Team pages: Plaza Amador · Alianza FC Panama

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Plaza Amador1.94

Alianza FC Panama1.11

1X2

56% 24% 21%

Plaza Amador Draw Alianza FC Panama

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWWWW

Alianza FC Panama 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDWLLL

Head-to-head

Plaza Amador 2–3–1 Alianza FC Panama (6 last)

Alianza FC Panama2-4Plaza Amador
Alianza FC Panama2-2Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador1-1Alianza FC Panama
Alianza FC Panama1-1Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador2-0Alianza FC Panama
Plaza Amador0-1Alianza FC Panama

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador 1571 · Alianza FC Panama 1440

	Plaza Amador	Draw	Alianza FC Panama
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1571 vs 1440).
H2H favours Plaza Amador: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador	Alianza FC Panama
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Pinn 4.10
2	4.50 → 4.33▼	Pinn 5.46 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +8’	1.60	3.70	4.50
13:12 +10’	1.60	3.75▲	4.50
17:13 +16’	1.60	3.80▲	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:36 +28’	1.55	4.00	5.19
21:29 +72’	1.52▼	4.10▲	5.46▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador 2–3–1 Alianza FC Panama

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/08/26 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	2-4 HT 1-3	Plaza Amador
24/05/26 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	2-2 HT 1-1	Plaza Amador
12/04/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	1-1 HT 0-1	Alianza FC Panama
08/02/26 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	1-1 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador
30/11/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	2-0 HT 1-0	Alianza FC Panama
26/10/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	0-1 HT 0-0	Alianza FC Panama

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	13	9	3	1	29	16	30
2	CD Arabe Unido	14	6	5	3	18	14	23
3	Tauro FC	14	6	2	6	21	15	20
4	UMECIT	13	5	5	3	13	11	20
5	Sporting San Miguelito	13	4	4	5	15	16	16
6	Alianza FC Panama	13	3	5	5	13	15	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador	Alianza FC Panama
Tauro FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
CD Universitario	2-1 W	0-0 D
Union Cocle	2-1 W	2-2 D
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	1-2 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-2 D	2-0 W
Herrera FC	4-1 W	0-1 L
San Francisco FC	1-4 L	1-1 D
UMECIT	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador

WWLWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
18/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
04/10	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
27/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
13/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
24/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	0	2	W
17/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	3-1	4-2	7	6	W

Alianza FC Panama

LWDDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	11	4	L
19/10	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
04/10	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
29/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
20/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
14/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
07/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
25/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
17/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-3	2-4	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC Panama?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador win (56%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador 56%, draw 24%, Alianza FC Panama 21%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC Panama?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Plaza Amador 1.94 · Alianza FC Panama 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC Panama?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.